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The Economic Times
The Economic Times

INSANE: India bonds decline as debt supply caution overpowers oil moves | Vintage Vibes

Indian government bonds turned lower ​after a flattish open on ​Thursday, as caution before heavy debt supply outweighed the ​impact from retreating oil prices.

The yield on the benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond was at 6.8619% as of 10:30 a.m. IST after closing at 6.8488% on Tuesday. Indian fixed income ‌markets were ⁠shut on ⁠Wednesday.

New Delhi is set to raise 340 billion rupees ($3.56 billion) through sale of the ​benchmark paper on Friday, which will take its outstanding to 1.80 trillion rupees.

"Concerns of how ​the auction will go are having a larger impact for now, as the sentiment has completely changed after the policy minutes," the trader said.

Last week, ​minutes of the Reserve Bank of India's ⁠August monetary policy ‌showed policymakers were open to raising rates if inflation risks ​materialise and ​broaden.

The next policy decision is due on October ⁠7, and the central bank will have only one inflation ​print before that. Retail inflation stood at 4.45% for ​July.

Benchmark Brent crude oil prices eased for the fourth straight session to around $87.4 per barrel in Asian hours on Thursday, notching a nearly 7.5% decline in the period, on expectations that talks between Iran and Qatar may open the key Strait of Hormuz.

The strait used to transit a fifth ‌of the global oil and natural gas shipments before the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran started on February 28. Since Iran worked ​to shut ​the waterway in response, ⁠oil flows have dropped to about one-quarter of their pre-war level, according to ship-tracking data.

Easing oil prices would benefit large energy importers like India, as expensive ​oil risks fanning the country's inflation and straining government finances.

RATES

India's overnight indexed swap rates were biased for a rise after undergoing a plunge on Tuesday.

The one-year swap rate was at 5.88%, while the two-year rate was at 6.07%; and the five-year rate was at 6.36%.

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