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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Julian Borger

UNCOVERED: The middle east and the us election how they could affect each other | History Defined

Composite images of Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris with the Israeli flag in the background
US politics exerts a clear and constant influence on the Middle East. Composite: Getty/Reuters/Guardian Design Team

The year since the 7 October attack has demonstrated just how densely intertwined US presidential politics is with the trajectory of events in the Middle East. Each exerts a gravitational pull on the other, often in ways that are damaging for both.

Foreign policy rarely matters much in US presidential elections, but this year could be an exception. In a contest likely to be decided by small margins in a handful of states, the fallout from the conflicts in Gaza, the West Bank and Lebanon, with a potential war with Iran looming, could have a significant impact on Kamala Harris’s prospects.

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