A game theory analyst has warned that a United States ground invasion of Iran would almost certainly trigger a military draft, forcing men as young as 18 into combat in a conflict that could drag on for five to ten years. Prof Jiang, who lectures on geopolitical strategy using game theory models, laid out his analysis in a recent lecture, identifying three questions he believes will define both the outcome of the US-Iran war and the shape of the world that follows.
Those three questions are whether the US will launch a ground invasion, whether nuclear weapons will be used, and what will happen to the Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem. On the first two, Prof Jiang has made firm predictions — and on the question of a draft, his conclusion is unambiguous.
