Nostradamus pollster predicts how an October surprise could impact election Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the result of nine out of 10 presidential elections since 1984 The Independent UK · Oct 7, 2024
‘Undisciplined, unhinged and deranged’: will Trump’s strange behavior hurt him at the polls? While he’s always been quick to insult, he’s now frequently vicious, and his speeches are increasingly disjointed The Guardian - US · Oct 6, 2024
‘Nostradamus’ pollster reveals who won VP debate between Walz and Vance Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the result of nine of out 10 presidential elections since 1984 The Independent UK · Oct 2, 2024
‘I’m not sure what to trust’: a student navigates the news in the age of social media With more people getting their news online than on TV, Ben Herd, 20, records his experience of following current affairs The Guardian - UK · Sep 14, 2024
Two Insistent Predictions In The 2024 Presidential Race, Two Different Winners Nate Silver says Donald Trump appears to be pulling ahead, while Allan Lichtman predicts victory for Kamala Harris International Business Times · Sep 7, 2024
Dick Cheney confirms he will vote for Kamala Harris, saying no ‘greater threat’ to US than Donald Trump – as it happened Former vice-president confirms he will vote for Democratic nominee and condemns ex-president’s attempt to ‘steal the last election’ This blog is now closed. The Guardian - US · Sep 6, 2024
Kamala Harris will win election, predicts leading historian Allan Lichtman Polling ‘Nostradamus’, said to have correctly forecast since 1984 all races except Gore’s loss, says Trump on track to lose The Guardian - US · Sep 5, 2024
Polling expert who has correctly called US elections for 40 years says Kamala Harris will win in November Allen Lichtman forecasts another White House victory for Democrats, saying Joe Biden’s decision to step away from his party’s ticket in July has turned the race on its head The Independent UK · Sep 5, 2024
Will Tim Walz’s selection as Harris’s running mate shift the US election? Harris’s choice for vice president has energised Democrats. But experts are split over if it will make a difference. Al Jazeera · Aug 7, 2024
Vice President Kamala Harris Favored In 2024 Election Forecast Learn about Allan Lichtman's 'Keys to the White House' predicting a potential win for Kamala Harris in the 2024 election. Top News · Jul 29, 2024
Why did Republican Donald Trump choose JD Vance as his vice president? Experts say Vance will likely not persuade swing-state voters, but he will energise Trump’s far-right base of support. Al Jazeera · Jul 18, 2024
Joe Biden is taking advice from his son, Hunter. This does not inspire confidence The president could have made a dignified exit from the race for the White House – but his family has apparently implored him to stay put. Now he seems determined to see things through to the bitter, messy end, writes Arwa Mahdawi The Guardian - UK · Jul 2, 2024
Two weeks since Trump’s New York guilty verdict: What have we learned? Trump’s history-making ‘hush-money’ verdict has only caused ripples so far in polls as he seeks re-election in November. Al Jazeera · Jun 13, 2024
‘A lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose’: can Allan Lichtman predict the 2024 election? The professor on his famous 13 ‘keys’ to the White House, a method for predicting election results that’s been right nine times out of 10 The Guardian - US · Apr 26, 2024
The Guardian - US · Apr 14, 2024 History in the making with debut of Donald Trump: criminal defendant The New York trial of the former president for allegedly paying hush money to a porn star will also test US justice system
The Guardian - US · Mar 10, 2024 Democrats are angry over media coverage of Biden. Is it a distraction? Fury at the New York Times followed frustration at the justice system. Critics say the president’s supporters are aiming at the wrong targets
The Guardian - US · Mar 5, 2024 US supreme court ‘erred badly’ with Trump ruling, leading US historian says Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted outcome of every US election since 1984, disagrees with decision on Colorado ballot
The Guardian - US · Jul 15, 2023 Biden stability beats Trump volatility in 2024 match-up, experts suggest Political scientists read the Republican runes and suggest Trump will win the nomination – but how would he fare in a 2020 rematch?
The Guardian - US · Apr 8, 2023 The case(s) against Trump: New York charges only beginning of legal woes Experts suggest the quantity and gravity of upcoming investigations could ultimately bury his electoral chances
The Guardian - UK · Mar 4, 2023 ‘I warned the FBI about this guy Osama bin Laden’: the people who predicted disasters, from the 2008 crash to Covid Whether it’s a terrorist attack or Donald Trump becoming US president: how do you live with being the person who foresaw a cataclysmic event?
The Guardian - US · Dec 10, 2022 Trump was fresh and new during his 2016 campaign. Has his fame fizzled? The failed ‘red wave’ during the midterm elections marked the beginning of a downward spiral of losses and lost support