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MYSTERIOUS: 2 | Mind Blowing Facts

Jonathan Bernstein: If Watergate happened today, would Nixon have survived?

The 50th anniversary of the Watergate arrests is approaching: The first break-in at Democratic National Committee headquarters was on May 28, 1972, but the botched return on June 17 produced arrests and eventually brought Richard Nixon’s presidency to a premature end on Aug. 8, 1974. The Washington Post’s Margaret Sullivan…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Biden’s approval slump hits a dreary new milestone

The bad news for President Joe Biden is that his popularity has fallen, this past week, into dead last place. Of the 13 presidents during the polling era, none has been in worse shape at this point in his first term, almost 500 days into a presidency, than Biden’s 40.5%…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Dysfunctional Republicans bail out on gun violence

I don’t have the expertise on guns and violence that some of my Bloomberg Opinion colleagues or many academic experts have. So I really don’t know which of the gun-control policies Democrats have proposed would be helpful, which would make little difference and which would create new risks.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Republican judges don’t care for restraint

If you had any doubt that Republican objections to judicial activism would melt away if conservative judges gained the upper hand, Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito and some of the judges on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, in Texas, should put it to rest.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Democrats are flunking Pandemic 101

Congress still hasn’t approved supplemental funding for COVID-19 vaccines, booster shots, treatments, tests and scientific work in a bill it’s been sitting on for months. Democrats have the tools to make it happen, but they aren’t using them, and I don’t understand why.

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Jonathan Bernstein: The 2024 presidential election is already strange

The Cook Report’s Amy Walter points out that whether former President Donald Trump takes another run at the Oval Office or not, the 2024 presidential election will have at least one unusual feature. If President Joe Biden runs for re-election and wins the Democratic nomination, he’ll extend his own record…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Stop smearing Biden’s mental capacity

Former President Donald Trump managed to mangle the name of a candidate he endorsed during a rally over the weekend. In the Ohio Senate Republican primary race, Trump endorsed the author and venture capitalist J.D. Vance over (among others) former state Treasurer Josh Mandel and proclaimed, “We’ve endorsed J.P., right?…

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Jonathan Bernstein: How to read Biden’s low approval ratings right now

This is a big week for President Joe Biden. For months, he’s had the second-worst approval rating of any polling-era president at the same point in their presidencies, trailing only Donald Trump. This week, he has passed Jimmy Carter, moving up into third worst. Within the next month, he’ll likely…

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Jonathan Bernstein: A judge says Trump broke the law. Here’s why that matters

The congressional committee investigating the Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol last year still hasn’t started overdue public hearings. But it it has now produced an important legal opinion from a federal judge stating that the “illegality” of the course of action President Donald Trump embarked upon after losing…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Trump, Mo Brooks and the Republican endorsement game

I have to admit: I have no idea how Republicans are going to react to Donald Trump’s latest scam.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Why are we still waiting for the Capitol riot hearings?

Most of the time I think that some of the things that political scientists and smart journalists are teaching are getting through. And then, sometimes, we get something like this from an unnamed member of the committee of the House of Representatives that’s investigating the assault on the U.S. Capitol…

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Jonathan Bernstein: On ballot or not, 2024 GOP race is all about Trump

The early stages of the 2024 Republican presidential nomination contest are picking up steam. Former President Donald Trump continues to all-but-officially run for the 2024 nomination, although that doesn’t guarantee that he’ll actually run. The small anti-Trump faction of the party appears to have at least three candidates, the most…

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Jonathan Bernstein: Why Biden isn’t trying to sound like Churchill

President Joe Biden’s public statement Tuesday morning announcing a U.S. cutoff of Russian oil was an excellent example of how words matter when they come out of presidential mouths — and how multiple audiences complicate the presidency.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Ukraine and the price of Republican rejectionism

One of the lessons for U.S. politics of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is that it points out the risks for the out-party of pure rejectionism — simply opposing whatever the party in power says and does.

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Jonathan Bernstein: Five ways to look at Biden’s State of the Union speech

The State of the Union, more than any other presidential address, is a heavily negotiated speech. Presidents are always speaking to multiple audiences, but never more than when they fulfill their constitutional obligation to “give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union.”

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Jonathan Bernstein: Come on, Jan. 6 committee! get your act together

Where are the hearings?

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Jonathan Bernstein: Don’t panic, Joe Biden. Be like Reagan

The New York Times reports that President Joe Biden: “Will retreat from the tangle of day-to-day negotiations with members of his own party that have made him seem powerless to advance key priorities, according to senior White House advisers. The change is part of an intentional reset in how he…

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