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HISTORICAL FACTS: 25 | History Defined

Monetary policy is not about interest rates, it's about the money supply

By ignoring the quantity theory of money and employing neo-Keynesian macroeconomic models, central bankers are often wrong-footed.

Fortune

S&P Futures Tick Higher With Focus on U.S. Retail Sales Data and Trump-Putin Meeting

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are trending up +0.17% this morning, bolstered by continued hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut next month, while investors await U.S. retail sales data and high-stakes talks between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russia’s Vladimir Putin.

Barchart

Japan Posts Modest Growth Despite US Tariffs

Japan eked out modest growth in the second quarter despite painful US tariffs, official data showed Friday, in welcome news to embattled Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba.

International Business Times

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Stocks Muted Before the Open With Key U.S. PPI Data in Focus

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are down -0.02%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are down -0.08% this morning, taking a breather after recent gains, while investors look ahead to crucial U.S. producer inflation data for insight into how aggressively the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates.

Barchart

S&P Futures Gain as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Firm

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are trending up +0.24% this morning, extending yesterday’s gains as growing expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts fueled risk-on sentiment.

Barchart

Dollar Pressured by Expectations of a More Dovish Fed

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday fell by -0.20%. The dollar moved lower on Friday but remained above Thursday's 1.5-week low. The dollar was under pressure after President Trump late Thursday nominated Stephen Miran to be a temporary replacement for Adrianna Kugler as Fed Governor. Miran is currently chairman...

Barchart

Dollar Slips on President Trump's Nomination for Fed Governor

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.22%. The dollar is weaker today but remains above Thursday's 1.5-week low. The dollar is being undercut today from strength in stocks, which reduces liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar is also under pressure afterPresident Trump late Thursday nominated Stephen...

Barchart

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Dollar Falls on Dovish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday fell by -0.61% to a 1-week low. Hawkish comments from ECB Governing Council member Holzmann on Wednesday boosted EUR/USD to a 1-week high, undercutting the dollar, as he stated there is no need for the ECB to cut interest rates further. The dollar...

Barchart

Dollar Weakens on Dovish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.37% at a 1-week low. Hawkish comments today from ECB Governing Council member Holzmann boosted EUR/USD to a 1-week high and undercut the dollar when he said he sees no need for the ECB to cut interest rates further. The dollar...

Barchart

Dollar Little Changed on Weak US Service Sector News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday rose by +0.03%. The dollar posted slight gains on Tuesday on some mild short covering after last Friday’s and Monday’s losses. Higher T-note yields on Tuesday were supportive of the dollar. Also, Tuesday’s news that showed the US Jun trade deficit shrank to...

Barchart

Dollar Recovers with Bond Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.16%. The dollar is moving higher today on some mild short covering after last Friday’s and Monday’s losses. Higher T-note yields today are supportive of the dollar. Also, today’s news that showed the US Jun trade deficit shrank to a 1.75-year...

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Gain on Strong Earnings and Fed Rate-Cut Bets

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are up +0.24%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are up +0.30% this morning, extending a rebound driven by bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and solid corporate earnings.

Barchart

Reduced Fed Rate Cut Expectations Bolster the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Thursday rose by +0.14% and posted a fresh 2-month high. The dollar found support from Thursday’s US economic news that showed a resilient labor market with sticky price pressures and labor costs, which are hawkish for Fed policy. The dollar also has carryover support...

Barchart

Dollar Gains as US Economic Strength Dampens Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.23% and posted a fresh 2-month high. The dollar is supported by today's US economic news that shows a resilient labor market with sticky price pressures and labor costs, which are hawkish for Fed policy. The dollar also has carryover support...

Barchart

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Barchart

Dollar Moves Higher as President Trump Eases Criticism of Fed Chair Powell

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday rose by +0.30%. The dollar rose Friday on comments made late Thursday from President Trump that firing Fed Chair Powell wasn’t necessary, easing concerns around the Fed’s independence that could spark foreign investors to shun dollar assets. On the negative side was Friday’s...

Barchart

Dollar Gains as President Trump Downplays Rift with Fed Chair Powell

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.35%. The dollar is climbing today on comments made late Thursday from President Trump that firing Fed Chair Powell wasn't necessary, easing concerns around the Fed's independence that could spark foreign investors to shun dollar assets. Higher T-note yields today are...

Barchart

S&P Futures Gain on Cautious Optimism Over Trade Deals

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are trending up +0.13% this morning as investors remain cautiously optimistic that the U.S. may strike more trade deals ahead of President Donald Trump’s August 1st deadline.

Barchart

Possible EU-US Trade Deal Weighs on the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday fell by -0.18%. The dollar gave up an early advance Wednesday and fell to a 2-week low. Improved prospects for an EU trade agreement with the US boosted the euro and undercut the dollar. The dollar also fell after US existing home sales...

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Barchart

Dollar Supported by Reduced Trade Tensions and Higher Bond Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.10%. The dollar is climbing today on reduced global trade tensions after the US agreed to a trade deal with Japan. Strength in T-note yields today has also improved the dollar's interest rate differentials. Gains in the dollar are limited after...

Barchart

Dollar Falls due to Lower T-note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday fell by -0.47% and posted a 1.5-week low. The dollar was under pressure Tuesday from lower T-note yields. Losses in the dollar accelerated after the US July Richmond Fed manufacturing index unexpectedly fell to an 11-month low. The dollar found some underlying support...

Barchart

S&P Futures Gain as Strong U.S. Economic Data and Earnings Boost Optimism

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are trending up +0.19% this morning, extending yesterday’s gains as rising confidence in the strength of the U.S. economy and positive earnings reports bolstered investors’ risk appetite.

Barchart

Latest US Tariff Threats Boost the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday rose by +0.24% and posted a new 2.5-week high. The dollar moved higher as President Trump's threats to impose 30% tariffs on goods from the European Union (EU) and Mexico, beginning August 1, risk stoking inflation pressures that could keep the Fed from...

Barchart

Dollar Supported by Latest US Tariff Threats

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.07%, and posted a new 2.5-week high. The dollar moved higher due to a slump in stocks, which boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, President Trump's threats to impose 30% tariffs on goods from the European Union (EU) and...

Barchart

Dollar Rises on Positive US Labor Market News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Thursday rose by +0.09% and posted a 2-week high. The dollar recovered from overnight losses and moved higher Thursday on signs of strength in the US labor market, a hawkish factor for Fed policy, after weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fell to an 8-week low....

Barchart

Dollar Boosted by Signs of US Labor Market Strength

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.22%. The dollar recovered from overnight losses and moved higher today on signs of strength in the US labor market, a hawkish factor for Fed policy, after weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fell to an 8-week low. Also, higher T-note yields today...

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