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THE TRUTH ABOUT: 8 - The Untold Story

Why Do I track CFTC's Legacy, Futures Only Commitments of Traders Reports?

I continue to have questions come in about my choice of CFTC Commitments of Traders reports. Given this, let's revisit my earlier piece, "The CFTC, Newton, and Me" from 2021.

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Trump cabinet member’s links to El Salvador crypto firm under scrutiny

Commerce chief Howard Lutnick’s firm backed controversial crypto giant Tether as Bukele ties deepened

The Guardian - US

Behind the Volatility: Deciphering the Corn Market’s Big Four in a Tariff-Torn Year

The corn market in 2025 is off to a rocky start, grappling with tariffs that could reshape its future. This article examines the four fundamental principles—supply, demand, price volatility, and trader sentiment—that every trader and commercial user can utilize to inform their trading decisions. Demand is crumbling as export giants…

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What Was Monday Morning's Market Anomaly?

Last Friday's close through early Monday morning shows another memorable evening in the commodity complex, this one involving Gold's forward curve.

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Unions tense as French PM rejects return to retirement age of 62

French trade unions and opposition parties involved in negotiating France’s controversial pension reform have asked for "clarification" from Prime Minister Francois Bayrou, who on Sunday said that returning to a retirement age of 62, down from 64, was impossible.

Radio France Internationale

What Commodity Markets Did Watson Buy Last Week?

The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report showed algorithms were triggered into selling the commodity complex, for the most part.

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West African Crop Concerns Underpin Cocoa Prices

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is up +397 (+3.97%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is up +175 (+2.19%). Cocoa prices today are sharply higher on West African cocoa crop concerns. Cocoa farmers in the Ivory Coast and Ghana, the world's two biggest cocoa-producing countries, said...

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Dollar Strength Sparks Long Liquidation in Cocoa Futures

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) Wednesday closed down -125 (-1.23%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) closed down -55 (-0.68%). Cocoa prices Wednesday gave up an early advance and posted moderate losses after a rally in the dollar index (DXY00 ) to a 1-week high sparked long...

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Big Futures Traders Are Shorting the Cotton Market. Is a Major Move Coming?

Large future traders are predominantly selling short the cotton futures market. A major price bottom is likely coming soon.

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Dollar Strength Weighs on Cocoa Prices

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is down -69 (-0.68%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is down -2 (-0.02%). Cocoa prices today gave up an early advance and fell moderately after a rally in the dollar index (DXY00 ) to a 1-week high sparked long liquidation...

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Cocoa Prices Finish Sharply Higher on Excessive Dryness in West Africa

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) Tuesday closed up +417 (+4.29%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) closed up +261 (+3.35%). Cocoa prices rallied sharply on Tuesday on insufficient rain in West Africa. Cocoa farmers in the Ivory Coast and Ghana, the world's two biggest cocoa-producing countries, said...

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Insufficient West African Rains Spark Short Covering in Cocoa Futures

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is up +414 (+4.26%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is up +242 (+3.10%). Cocoa prices today are sharply higher as insufficient rain in West Africa sparked short covering in cocoa futures. Cocoa farmers in the Ivory Coast and Ghana, the...

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Cocoa Prices Settle Lower on Demand Concerns

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) Monday closed down -304 (-3.03%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) closed down -117 (-1.48%). Cocoa prices fell sharply on Monday and held just above last Friday's 2-month lows. Cocoa prices have been under pressure over the past week on signs of...

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Demand Woes Pressure Cocoa Prices

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is down -331 (-3.30%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is down -117 (-1.48%). Cocoa prices today are sharply lower and are holding just above last Friday's 2-month lows. Cocoa prices have been under pressure over the past week on signs...

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Cocoa Prices Tumble as Chocolate Makers Signal Slowing Demand

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) Friday closed down -76 (-0.75%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) closed down -92 (-1.15%). Cocoa prices Friday added to this week's sharp losses and fell to 2-month lows. Cocoa prices have been under pressure on signs of slowing cocoa demand this...

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Cocoa Prices Under Pressure as Chocolate Makers Signal Weak Demand

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is down -71 (-0.70%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is down -69 (-0.862%). Cocoa prices today added to this week's losses and fell to 2-month lows. Cocoa prices are under pressure this week on signs of slowing cocoa demand. Chocolate...

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Cocoa Prices Finish Sharply Lower on Demand Concerns

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) Thursday closed down -420 (-3.99%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) closed down -256 (-3.10%). Cocoa prices Thursday extended this week's sharp decline, with NY cocoa posting a 6-week low and London cocoa posting a 5-week low. Cocoa prices are under pressure...

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Cocoa Prices Slump as High Prices Destroy Demand

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is down -434 (-4.13%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is down -255 (-3.08%). Cocoa prices today extended this week's sharp decline, with NY cocoa posting a 6-week low and London cocoa posting a 5-week low. Cocoa prices are under pressure...

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Cocoa Demand Concerns Weigh on Prices

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) Wednesday closed down -399 (-3.66%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) closed down -315 (-3.67%). Cocoa prices retreated Wednesday, with NY cocoa posting a 1-month low and London cocoa posting a 5-week low. Cocoa prices fell Wednesday after major chocolate maker Mondelez...

Barchart

Demand Concerns Hammer Cocoa Prices

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is down -364 (-3.34%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is down -284 (-3.31%). Cocoa prices today are plunging, with NY cocoa posting a 1-month low and London cocoa posting a 5-week low. Cocoa prices are retreating today after major chocolate...

Barchart

What Will Watson Watch from Washington Wednesday?

It's just another Wednesday morning, another first day of the positioning week for funds, with Watson waiting to see what comes out of Washington.

Barchart

Cocoa Prices Settle Lower as West African Rains Boosts Crop Development

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) Tuesday closed down -89 (-0.81%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) closed down -83 (-0.96%). Cocoa prices settled moderately lower on Tuesday as beneficial rain in West Africa increased soil moisture levels and benefited cocoa tree development. Farmers in the Ivory Coast...

Barchart

Cocoa Prices Pressured by Beneficial Rain in West Africa

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is down -101 (-0.92%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is down -94 (-1.08%). Cocoa prices today are moderately lower as beneficial rains in West Africa have increased soil moisture levels and are benefiting cocoa tree development. Farmers in the Ivory...

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Cocoa Sees Support from Tight Global Supplies

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) Monday closed up +15 (+0.14%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) closed up +54 (+0.63%). Cocoa prices Monday posted mild gains on concern that slowing Ivory Coast cocoa exports will tighten global supplies. While government data Monday showed Ivory Coast farmers shipped...

Barchart

Cocoa Prices Mixed on Currency Fluctuations

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH25 ) today is down -18 (-0.16%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH25 ) is up +54 (+0.63%). Cocoa prices today are mixed. Today's rally in the dollar index to a 3-week high (DXY00 ) undercut NY cocoa prices. However, London cocoa is higher after...

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