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EXPLAINED: 3 | Vintage Vibes

Wall Street is pricing no ‘material drop’ in market thanks to consumers, says Fed’s Hammack—problem is, shoppers are increasingly shaky

Cleveland Fed chief Beth Hammack says markets expect strong consumer demand to keep fueling record S&P 500 gains—even as confidence slips.

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Stock Indexes Post New Record Highs on AI Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Monday closed up +0.44%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.14%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.55%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) rose +0.40%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Falls and Gold Surges to a Record High on Easier Fed Policy

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today fell from a 1-week high on Monday and finished down by -0.31%. The dollar is under pressure on the outlook for easier Fed policy, with the FOMC expected to cut interest rates by another 50 bp this year. The dollar found support Monday on...

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Dollar Moves Higher on Hawkish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Thursday rose by +0.41% and posted at a 1.5-week high. The dollar garnered support from hawkish Fed comments. Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said “modestly restrictive” monetary policy is still appropriate due to inflation risks. Meanwhile, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said she...

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Stocks Rebound as Trump Says He’s Open to Trade Talks

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Monday closed up +0.14%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.20%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.33%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25 ) are up +0.14%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Latest US Tariff Threats Boost the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday rose by +0.24% and posted a new 2.5-week high. The dollar moved higher as President Trump's threats to impose 30% tariffs on goods from the European Union (EU) and Mexico, beginning August 1, risk stoking inflation pressures that could keep the Fed from...

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Bulls Battle Back After New Tariff Threats

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.15%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.09%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.43%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25 ) are up +0.17%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Supported by Latest US Tariff Threats

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.07%, and posted a new 2.5-week high. The dollar moved higher due to a slump in stocks, which boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, President Trump's threats to impose 30% tariffs on goods from the European Union (EU) and...

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Latest Tariff Threats Weigh on Stocks

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.21%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.05%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.22%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25 ) are down -0.21%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Stocks Finish Sharply Higher on a Resilient US Labor Market

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Friday closed up +1.03%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +1.05%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.99%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +1.04%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Gains With T-Note Yields on a Hawkish US Payroll Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Friday rose by +0.44%. The dollar moved higher Friday on the heels of a better-than-expected US May payroll report, easing concerns that the US labor market was cooling. Also, hawkish comments on Friday from Cleveland Fed President Hammack boosted the dollar when she said she'd...

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Stocks Rally as a Strong US Jobs Report Alleviates Growth Concerns

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +1.14%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +1.15%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.20%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +1.13%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Gains on Strong US Payroll Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.45%. The dollar is climbing today on the heels of a better-than-expected US May payroll report, easing concerns that the US labor market was cooling. Also, hawkish comments today from Cleveland Fed President Hammack boosted the dollar when she said she’d...

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Stocks Finish Sharply Higher on Tech Stock Strength and Fed Rate Cut Hopes

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Thursday closed up +2.03%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up by +1.23%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +2.79%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +2.05%, and June E-mini Nasdaq...

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Dollar Weakens as Tariff Concerns Persist

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Thursday fell by -0.49%. The dollar posted moderate losses Thursday because of concerns that the US-China trade war will drag on after China said there were no talks on reaching a trade deal with the US. Also, Treasury Secretary Bessent said President Trump hasn't offered...

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Stocks Rally on Strength in Big Tech and Dovish Fed Speak

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +1.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.47%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.63%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +1.22%, and June E-mini Nasdaq...

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Stocks Supported by Strength in Big Tech and Chip Makers

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.29%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.28%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.73%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are down -0.18%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Chip Stock Weakness and Tariff Angst Sink Stocks

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Thursday closed down -1.59%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.45% and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -2.75%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH25 ) are down -1.56%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Rallies on Expectations of US Tariffs on Canada and Mexico

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Thursday rose by +0.77% and posted a 1-week high. The dollar rallied Thursday on signs of strength in the US economy after Q4 GDP was left unrevised. Also, Jan capital goods new orders nondefense ex-aircraft and parts, a proxy for capital spending, rose more than...

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Dollar Declines as US Tariffs Weigh on Sentiment

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Tuesday fell by -0.35%. The dollar was under pressure from concern that President Trump's 25% tariffs on all steel, aluminum, and finished metals imports into the US will encourage retaliation that curbs US economic growth. Losses in the dollar were limited by higher T-note yields...

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Dollar Slides on Concern US Tariffs Could Weigh on the Economy

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.15%. The dollar today is slightly lower on concern that President Trump’s 25% tariffs on all steel, aluminum, and finished metals imports into the US will encourage retaliation that curbs US economic growth. Losses in the dollar are limited by higher...

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Stocks Fall on US Tariffs and Higher Bond Yields

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.22%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.21%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.26%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH25 ) are down by -0.26%, and March E-mini Nasdaq...

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Stocks Settle Higher on Chip Stock Strength and Positive Economic News

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Friday closed up +1.00%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.78%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +1.66%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH25 ) are up +0.91%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Stocks Rally on US Economic Strength and US-China Trade Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +1.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.91%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.56%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH25 ) are up +1.05%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Weakens on Lower Bond Yields and Stronger Stocks

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.10%. The dollar today gave up an early advance and turned moderately lower after the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 2-week low of 4.566%, weakening the dollar's interest rate differentials. Also, today's stock rally has curbed liquidity demand for the...

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