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UNCOVERED: 2 - The Untold Story

Dollar Rallies on Signs of a Resilient US Economy

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Thursday climbed to a 2-week high, finishing up by 0.29%. The dollar garnered support from Thursday's as-expected US April retail sales report, signaling signs of a resilient US economy. Also, signs of progress in US-China trade negotiations are supportive of the dollar after Reuters...

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Dollar Climbs on a Solid US Retail Sales Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today climbed to a 2-week high, up by +0.10%. The dollar garnered support from today's as-expected US April retail sales report. Also, signs of progress in US-China trade negotiations are supportive of the dollar after Reuters reported that the US and China are weighing a...

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Weak Stocks and Crude Oil Strength Lift the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday rose by +0.34%. The dollar moved higher on Tuesday amid renewed concerns that the US-Iran ceasefire may break down after President Trump said the current ceasefire was on “life support.” Tuesday’s +4% surge in crude oil prices also boosted inflation expectations and may...

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Dollar Rallies on Crude Oil Strength as Hot US CPI Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.45%. The dollar is climbing today on renewed concerns that the US-Iran ceasefire may break down after President Trump said the current ceasefire was on "life support." Today's +3% surge in crude oil prices also boosts inflation expectations and may prompt...

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Dollar Edges Higher on Crude Oil Strength

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday rose by +0.05%. The dollar was supported on Monday by increased safe-haven demand after the US and Iran failed to reach terms to end the war. Also, Monday's +2% jump in crude oil prices boosted inflation expectations and may prompt the Fed to...

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Dollar Rises as Iran Tensions Escalate

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday rose by +0.25%. The dollar moved higher on Monday amid an increase in safe-haven demand after WTI crude oil prices surged more than +4% due to the escalation of tensions in the Middle East. Also, Monday’s better-than-expected US March factory orders report supports...

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Dollar Falls on Lower Crude Prices and a Weak ISM Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.33%. The dollar added to Thursday's sharp losses today, falling to a 2-week low. The strength in other G-10 currencies is weighing on the dollar today, with the euro climbing to a 1.5-week high and the yen jumping to a 2-month...

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Dollar Drops on Hopes for US-Iran Diplomacy

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday fell by -0.24%. The dollar gave up an early advance and turned lower on Friday as stocks rallied on optimism that peace talks between the US and Iran are set to resume. Bloomberg reported that Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is expected to...

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Dollar Recovers on Rising Tensions Over the Strait of Hormuz

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday rose to a 1-week high and finished up by +0.20%. The dollar found support on Wednesday as the escalation of the US-Iran war boosted safe-haven demand for the dollar. Iran seized two ships on Wednesday in the Strait of Hormuz for "endangering maritime...

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Stocks Supported by Iran Ceasefire Extension and Strong Earnings

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.84%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.76%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.28%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are up +0.80%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Slips as Strength in Stocks Curbs Liquidity Demand

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.03%. The dollar gave up an early advance today and turned lower after a rally in stocks reduced liquidity demand for the dollar, following President Trump's announcement that he will indefinitely extend the ceasefire with Iran. Also, lower T-note yields today...

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Dollar Sinks as Iran Says Hormuz is Open

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today fell to a 7-week low and is down by -0.45%. The dollar is under pressure today in hopes that an end to the war in Iran is near, curbing safe-haven demand for the dollar. Also, today's rally in stocks has reduced liquidity demand for...

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Dollar Falls in Hopes of De-escalation of Middle East Hostilities

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell by -0.36% on Thursday and held just above Wednesday's 4-week low. Weaker-than-expected US economic news on Thursday weighed on the dollar. Q4 GDP was unexpectedly revised lower, Feb personal income and spending rose less than expected, and weekly jobless claims rose more than expected...

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Dollar Slips on Weak US Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down by -0.24% today and just above Wednesday's 4-week low. Weaker-than-expected US economic news today is weighing on the dollar. Q4 GDP was unexpectedly revised lower, Feb personal income and spending rose less than expected, and weekly jobless claims rose more than expected to...

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Dollar Declines as President Trump Signals He May End Iran War

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell from a 10.5-month high today and is down by -0.43%. The dollar retreated today after President Trump signaled he is willing to end the war in Iran. Also, today’s stock rally has curbed liquidity demand for the dollar. In addition, lower T-note yields today...

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Dollar Advances as Iran War Rages

The dollar index (DXY00 ) rose to a 1-week high on Friday and finished up by +0.27%. The dollar moved higher on Friday as the risk of a protracted Iran war boosts safe-haven demand for the dollar. Also, Friday's +5% rally in crude oil prices is pushing inflation expectations higher,...

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Dollar Declines and Gold Plunges in Hopes Iran War Will Soon End

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell to a 1.5-week low on Monday and finished down by -0.65%. The dollar gave up overnight gains and turned lower as stocks rallied sharply after President Trump postponed attacks against Iranian energy infrastructure and power plants for five days following the start of talks...

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Dollar Supported by Weak Stocks and Iran War

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.50%. The dollar is climbing today as weakness in stocks has boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, the ongoing war in Iran has boosted demand for the dollar as a safe haven. In addition, higher T-note yields today are...

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S&P Futures Slip as Oil Prices Rise on Kharg Island Takeover Report

March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH26) are trending down -0.40% this morning as oil prices continued to rise amid waning hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East conflict.

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Dollar Index Shows Weekly Decline as Fundamentals Remain Weak

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday ended the day little changed, but fell about -0.6% on the week. The dollar traded on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets initially reduced the odds for a -25...

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Dollar Index Sees Continued Downward Pressure

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down -0.09%, extending this week’s sell-off to about -0.7%. The dollar continues to trade on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets initially reduced the odds for a -25 bp...

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Dollar Index Ends Little Changed, But Bearish Sentiment Continues

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday fell to a new 2.75-month low but then recovered and ended the day little changed. The dollar continues to trade on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets have reduced...

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Dollar Index Posts 2.75-Month Low But Then Recovers

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today posted a new 2.75-month low but then recovered and is little changed. The dollar continues to trade on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets on Tuesday reduced the odds for...

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Dollar Falls Despite Strong US GDP Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down -0.22%, as bearish underlying dollar sentiment outweighed today's stronger-than-expected US GDP report and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets today reduced the odds for a -25 bp rate cut to 13% from 20% at the next FOMC meeting on January 27-28....

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Dollar Falls on Interest Rate Differential Outlook

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down -0.30%, falling back from last Friday's 1-week high. The dollar continues to see underlying weakness as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about -50 bp in 2026, while the BOJ is expected to raise rates by another +25 bp in...

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