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UNCOVERED: 2 - The Untold Story

Stocks Supported by Iran Ceasefire Extension and Strong Earnings

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.84%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.76%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.28%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are up +0.80%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Slips as Strength in Stocks Curbs Liquidity Demand

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.03%. The dollar gave up an early advance today and turned lower after a rally in stocks reduced liquidity demand for the dollar, following President Trump's announcement that he will indefinitely extend the ceasefire with Iran. Also, lower T-note yields today...

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Dollar Sinks as Iran Says Hormuz is Open

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today fell to a 7-week low and is down by -0.45%. The dollar is under pressure today in hopes that an end to the war in Iran is near, curbing safe-haven demand for the dollar. Also, today's rally in stocks has reduced liquidity demand for...

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Dollar Falls in Hopes of De-escalation of Middle East Hostilities

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell by -0.36% on Thursday and held just above Wednesday's 4-week low. Weaker-than-expected US economic news on Thursday weighed on the dollar. Q4 GDP was unexpectedly revised lower, Feb personal income and spending rose less than expected, and weekly jobless claims rose more than expected...

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Dollar Slips on Weak US Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down by -0.24% today and just above Wednesday's 4-week low. Weaker-than-expected US economic news today is weighing on the dollar. Q4 GDP was unexpectedly revised lower, Feb personal income and spending rose less than expected, and weekly jobless claims rose more than expected to...

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Dollar Declines as President Trump Signals He May End Iran War

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell from a 10.5-month high today and is down by -0.43%. The dollar retreated today after President Trump signaled he is willing to end the war in Iran. Also, today’s stock rally has curbed liquidity demand for the dollar. In addition, lower T-note yields today...

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Dollar Advances as Iran War Rages

The dollar index (DXY00 ) rose to a 1-week high on Friday and finished up by +0.27%. The dollar moved higher on Friday as the risk of a protracted Iran war boosts safe-haven demand for the dollar. Also, Friday's +5% rally in crude oil prices is pushing inflation expectations higher,...

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Dollar Declines and Gold Plunges in Hopes Iran War Will Soon End

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell to a 1.5-week low on Monday and finished down by -0.65%. The dollar gave up overnight gains and turned lower as stocks rallied sharply after President Trump postponed attacks against Iranian energy infrastructure and power plants for five days following the start of talks...

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Dollar Supported by Weak Stocks and Iran War

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.50%. The dollar is climbing today as weakness in stocks has boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, the ongoing war in Iran has boosted demand for the dollar as a safe haven. In addition, higher T-note yields today are...

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S&P Futures Slip as Oil Prices Rise on Kharg Island Takeover Report

March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH26) are trending down -0.40% this morning as oil prices continued to rise amid waning hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East conflict.

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Dollar Index Shows Weekly Decline as Fundamentals Remain Weak

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday ended the day little changed, but fell about -0.6% on the week. The dollar traded on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets initially reduced the odds for a -25...

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Dollar Index Sees Continued Downward Pressure

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down -0.09%, extending this week’s sell-off to about -0.7%. The dollar continues to trade on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets initially reduced the odds for a -25 bp...

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Dollar Index Ends Little Changed, But Bearish Sentiment Continues

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday fell to a new 2.75-month low but then recovered and ended the day little changed. The dollar continues to trade on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets have reduced...

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Dollar Index Posts 2.75-Month Low But Then Recovers

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today posted a new 2.75-month low but then recovered and is little changed. The dollar continues to trade on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets on Tuesday reduced the odds for...

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Dollar Falls Despite Strong US GDP Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down -0.22%, as bearish underlying dollar sentiment outweighed today's stronger-than-expected US GDP report and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets today reduced the odds for a -25 bp rate cut to 13% from 20% at the next FOMC meeting on January 27-28....

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Dollar Falls on Interest Rate Differential Outlook

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down -0.30%, falling back from last Friday's 1-week high. The dollar continues to see underlying weakness as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about -50 bp in 2026, while the BOJ is expected to raise rates by another +25 bp in...

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Dollar Sinks as Fed Cuts Rates and Boosts Liquidity

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday fell to a 6-week low and finished down by -0.63%. The dollar retreated on Wednesday after the FOMC cut the federal funds target range by -25 bp. The dollar was also pressured on Wednesday after the US Q3 employment cost index rose less...

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Dollar Slips Ahead of FOMC Meeting Results

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.18%. The dollar is weaker amid expectations that the Fed will cut the federal funds target range by -25 bp at the conclusion of today's FOMC meeting. The dollar extended its losses today after the US Q3 employment cost index rose...

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Yen Strength Weighs on the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday fell to a 2-week low and finished down by -0.05%. The yen’s strength is weighing on the dollar on Monday after BOJ Governor Ueda signaled a possible interest rate hike at this month’s policy meeting. Also, Monday’s weaker-than-expected Nov US ISM manufacturing index...

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Dollar Softens as Fed Rate-Cut Chances Rise

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.33% at a 2-week low. The yen's strength is weighing on the dollar today after BOJ Governor Ueda signaled a possible interest rate hike at this month's policy meeting. Also, today's weaker-than-expected Nov US ISM manufacturing index is bearish for the...

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Dollar Rallies as Stocks Retreat

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday rose by +0.37% and posted a 3-month high. Tuesday's slump in equity markets has boosted liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar also had carry-over support from Fed Chair Powell's warning last week that another rate cut in December is not a foregone...

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Dollar Falls and Gold Surges on Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Thursday fell by -0.47% and posted a 1-week low. Dovish Fed comments weighed on the dollar Thursday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the Fed can keep lowering interest rates to support a faltering labor market. Also, Thursday’s economic news, which showed the October...

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Dollar Falls and Gold Surges on Dovish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.21% and posted a 1-week low. Dovish Fed comments today weighed on the dollar after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the Fed can keep lowering interest rates to support a faltering labor market. Also, today’s economic news, which showed the October...

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Stocks Boosted by Strength in Chipmakers and Earnings Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Wednesday closed up +0.40%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.04%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.68%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) rose +0.43%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Declines and Gold Soars on Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday fell by -0.28%. The dollar moved lower on Wednesday after dovish comments from Boston Fed President Susan Collins reinforced expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates at the October 28-29 FOMC meeting, when she stated that it is prudent for the Fed...

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