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FORGOTTEN HISTORY: El nino event - Caught on Camera

Seed stocks adequate, but last-mile delivery remains critical: FSII

Indian seed companies are holding substantial surplus stock for the upcoming kharif season, aiming to mitigate potential losses from a weak and delayed monsoon due to El Nino. Despite robust production, timely distribution to rain-deficient regions remains a critical challenge. Farmers in vulnerable areas are urged to consider short-duration, climate-resilient…

The Economic Times

Oil slide anchors India 10-year yield at 3-month low

Indian government bond yields dipped to a three-month low on Tuesday, buoyed by easing oil prices and receding geopolitical tensions. The benchmark 10-year note closed lower as market anxiety subsided. Analysts anticipate yields to remain within a narrow band this week. Meanwhile, anticipation builds for a potential inclusion in a…

The Economic Times

India bonds rangebound as oil-led rally loses steam

Indian government bonds held steady as a recent rally paused, with investors now awaiting cues from Bloomberg's index inclusion decision and the monsoon's impact. Yields on the benchmark 2036 note saw a slight dip. Expectations of foreign inflows, boosted by potential index inclusion and easing oil prices, are supporting the…

The Economic Times

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India bonds walk tightrope on steady oil, shaky US-Iran truce

Indian government bonds traded cautiously early Monday, as concerns over U.S.-Iran tensions tempered relief from falling oil prices. While oil's dip below $80 a barrel eases import costs, traders remain wary of El Nino's impact on inflation and global yield risks. Markets are also awaiting a key decision on India's…

The Economic Times

India likely won't export sugar for years as El Nino, ethanol squeeze supply

Once as a top sugar exporter, India is now anticipating a three-year stretch of significant export deficits, primarily driven by El Nino's adverse effects on cane cultivation. As ethanol demand rises, farmers are beginning to reassess their planting strategies, with some considering alternative crops. This shift might mark the first…

The Economic Times

FED:More uncertainty for farmers as El Nino declared

Australian producers have been urged to game plan for a drier, warmer winter and spring, but not panic, following the declaration of an active El Nino.

AAP

India 10-year yield snaps 6-day falling streak as US-Iran talks stall

India's benchmark 10-year bond yield saw a pause in its recent drop on Friday. This change was fueled by stalled talks between the U.S. and Iran, which caused oil prices to tick up, negatively impacting investor sentiment. Additionally, profit-taking by traders following a strong bond price increase played a role.…

The Economic Times

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RBI MPC member Nagesh Kumar flags import dependence, Gulf remittances, El Nino risks in minutes

India faces significant economic risks from the West Asia conflict, including potential disruptions to oil and fertilizer imports via the Strait of Hormuz and reduced remittances from the Gulf. El Niño-induced monsoon failures also pose a threat to agriculture. Despite these vulnerabilities, the nation's strong foreign exchange reserves and fiscal…

The Economic Times

Ample world inventories may soften El Nino food supply shock

A potential super El Niño is expected to disrupt global weather patterns and threaten agricultural output in the coming months, but large existing food inventories and strong harvests in key producing regions may soften the impact.

The Economic Times

Not just El Nino: What else is holding back India's monsoon?

India's monsoon has slowed significantly. A weak surge from the Arabian Sea and missing weather systems are causing a rainfall deficit. This pause impacts the kharif sowing season. Meteorologists are monitoring conditions for renewed monsoon activity. Farmers are advised to prepare for potential low rainfall.

The Economic Times

War, oil and El Nino: Triple threat may cut India Inc's profit margins by 150 bps

India Inc faces challenges ahead. Geopolitical tensions in West Asia and El Nino conditions may hurt company profits. Operating profit margins could shrink. Rural demand might be disrupted. Revenue growth is projected to slow down. Companies may face higher costs for imports and fuel. Some sectors show resilience in investment.…

The Economic Times

El Nino fear pushes farmers in Srikakulam and Vizianagaram towards water-saving paddy methods

Farmers in Andhra Pradesh's Srikakulam and Vizianagaram districts are shifting to water-saving rice farming techniques. Facing potential El Nino impacts, cultivators are embracing Direct Seeded Rice and Alternate Wetting and Drying. These methods significantly reduce water usage and labor costs. The Dr Reddy's Foundation is actively promoting these changes, alongside…

The Economic Times

Domestic tractor wholesale volumes likely to grow at 1-4% in FY27: ICRA

Tractor sales are set for modest growth this fiscal year. However, a below-normal monsoon forecast poses a risk to agricultural output and sales. Despite this, manufacturers' margins are expected to remain healthy. Strong farm cash flows and government support continue to underpin the sector. Industry growth may moderate due to…

The Economic Times

Why a strong El Niño leaves tropical commodities acutely exposed

Forecasters anticipate a strong El Nino developing later this year, likely boosting global temperatures and disrupting rainfall patterns. This poses significant risks to soft commodities like cocoa, coffee, and sugar, particularly those grown in tropical regions. Past El Nino events have historically led to reduced yields and price surges for…

The Economic Times

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AAP

FED:'Supercharged': El Nino brings drier, hotter conditions

Scientists say an El Nino phase will bring drier weather, with some advocacy groups worried bushfire conditions could be primed for a tough summer.

The Economic Times

El Nino to hit 9-10 states severely; Chouhan calls for district-level contingency plans for Kharif

Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan has directed coordinated meetings with district officials and agricultural agencies in 9-10 states likely to face severe El Nino impacts during the Kharif season. The focus is on advance contingency planning for rain-deficient districts, increasing cotton and pulse acreage, and ensuring farmers receive scientific, solution-oriented…

The Economic Times

Australia declares El Nino set to be strongest in decades

Australia's weather bureau has warned of an El Nino forming in the tropical Pacific. This weather pattern could become one of the strongest in seventy years by the second half of 2026. It is expected to bring excessive rains to the Americas and hot, dry conditions to Asia. This raises…

AAP

FED:Drier, hotter conditions forecast as El Nino confirmed

Australia faces potentially drier conditions under an El Nino phase, though climate change is making it harder to draw on past patterns to predict the future.

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AAP

'Supercharged': El Nino brings drier, hotter conditions

Scientists say an El Nino phase will bring drier weather, with some advocacy groups worried bushfire conditions could be primed for a tough summer.

Bangkok Post

Expert warns of Super El Nino risk

Thailand should prepare for the possibility of a Super El Nino event next year, which could bring extreme heat, drought and other disruptions, a leading climate expert has warned.

The Economic Times

El Nino may hit India's monsoon, rice and maize output: FAO

India faces a potential threat as El Nino begins. The Food and Agriculture Organization warns of a weakened summer monsoon. This could stress vital crops like rice and maize during the kharif season. Farmers' livelihoods and food security are at risk. Early action is crucial to mitigate these challenges. The…

The Economic Times

Adequate fertiliser stocks available, Govt ready to tackle El Nino impact: Shivraj Singh Chouhan

Union Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan confirmed ample fertilizer stocks for farmers. He assured continued availability of urea and di-ammonium phosphate at subsidized rates. The government is prepared for the potential impact of El Nino. India is also promoting organic farming for sustainability. Discussions at the BRICS agriculture meeting covered…

The Economic Times

El Nino returns to Pacific, likely to intensify through monsoon season, says IMD

El Nino has returned to the tropical Pacific. The India Meteorological Department warns it may intensify during the southwest monsoon. The government has identified 197 vulnerable districts. Contingency plans are being prepared for agriculture. The nation is stocking seeds and inputs. Farmer outreach programs are underway. This heightened preparedness addresses…

AAP

Fire agencies on front foot as dry, warm weather looms

Fire agencies in eastern states are alert to what could be an early start to the season as long range forecasts point to warmer and drier conditions than usual.

France 24

‘Fuel on the fire’: Scientists confirm El Nino’s return, predict extreme weather effects

Meteorologists confirmed the arrival of El Nino in the Pacific Ocean on Thursday, warning that the climate pattern could grow into one of the strongest on record. Experts say it is likely to amplify global heat and fuel extreme weather including floods, droughts, wildfires and powerful storms in coming months.

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