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FOUND: Electoral calculus | Mind Blowing Facts

Who will win in Gorton and Denton? What the results of every byelection since 2010 tell us

The fight is on for the Gorton and Denton byelection on February 26. It is a three-way contest between Labour, Reform and the Greens. According to Electoral Calculus, a site which runs regular MRP (multi-level regression post stratification) surveys, Reform will win with 32% of the vote, the Greens will…

The Conversation

Britain’s two-party politics is fragmenting: what unintended consequences await?

On one hand, no more safe seats or long careers could mean less complacency. On the other, no big parties could mean greater corporate influence, says Guardian columnist Andy Beckett

The Guardian - UK

Pollster warns of ‘political earthquake in UK’ after polls show Farage could be PM

The latest Electoral Calculus forecast shows Nigel Farage would have a 74-seat majority if an election were held tomorrow

The Independent UK

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Bombshell new poll predicts Nigel Farage on course to win next general election

Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party is on course to win a stunning majority in the next general election, according to a new bombshell poll by Electoral Calculus.

The Fashion Central

Tories and Reform UK must agree pact before next election if Labour could win, shadow minister says – as it happened

Greg Smith says parties on the right will ‘have to play nice’ if there is a chance of Labour winning the next election

The Guardian - UK

Sunak warned he has two weeks to persuade Tory voters back from Reform or face humiliation

Sunak is on the ropes as one poll puts Reform ahead of the Tories and a second sees gap close again

The Independent UK

New poll shows Tories heading for election wipeout – with Lib Dems becoming second biggest party

Redfield and Wilton’s poll of 10,000 voters suggests that the Conservatives will suffer ‘catastrophic’ losses

The Independent UK

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Tories heading for election wipeout as new mega-poll suggests they could win just 66 seats

Cabinet ministers, including the deputy prime minister, predicted to lose in Labour landslide

The Independent UK

General election 2024: How many seats could the Liberal Democrats and Reform UK win?

Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer will dominate the headlines, but The Independent looks at how smaller parties the Lib Dems and Reform UK might fare

The Independent UK

UK election opinion polls: Labour maintain significant lead over Tories as polling day arrives

Find out who’s up and who’s down in the latest polls – and how many seats each party is likely to win in the next general election

The Guardian - UK

Heavy election defeat could lead to Tory lurch to right, analysis shows

With another two-point slip from current polling, about 40% of Tory MPs would come from populist right

The Guardian - UK

Tactical voting in general election could spell Tories’ worst defeat in 100 years

Exclusive: Tories heading for even bigger election wipeout, says shock new poll, as groundswell of anti-Conservative sentiment set to drive party to worst result in more than a century

The Independent UK

Tories on course for humiliation as new poll predicts just 90 seats for party

THE Tories are on course to be humiliated at the next election according to a new poll which puts them on course to hold just 90 seats next year.

The National (Scotland)

Bombshell poll predicts 314-seat Labour majority - and no Tories north of Lincolnshire

The major Savanta and Electoral Calculus poll projects the Labour Party would win 482 seats if a general election was held tomorrow - more than the 418 under Tony Blair's 1997 landslide

Daily Mirror

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The Guardian - UK

Could Boris Johnson lose his seat in the next election?

It would have been unimaginable for previous leaders, but polls suggest the prime minister is in serious danger of losing his constituency

The Guardian - UK

Boris Johnson’s GMB interview shows ‘narcissistic’ PM ‘out of touch’, says Labour – UK politics as it happened

Latest updates: Labour criticises PM after he says he is opposed to using further benefit rises to help with cost of living

Daily Mirror

Tories could lose 800 seats in local elections 2022, controversial poll declares

The model claimed the Tories would lose more than a third of the seats that are up for grabs on May 5 - putting Keir Starmer on course to run a minority government. Other pollsters poured scorn on the findings

People

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