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HISTORICAL FACTS: Euro zone loc - The Untold Story

Global Market: ECB seen raising rates as Iran war fuels inflation fears

The European Central Bank is widely expected to raise interest rates to 2.50% on Thursday as soaring energy prices amid the Iran war fuel fresh inflation concerns. With inflation above its 2% target and the euro zone economy proving resilient, markets are pricing in further ECB rate hikes.

The Economic Times

European shares subdued as surging crude sharpens focus on ECB rate path

European shares closed largely flat as higher oil prices and renewed US-Iran tensions raised inflation concerns, offsetting stronger euro zone economic data. Energy stocks gained, while Novartis fell after its cholesterol drug failed a key study. Investors also raised bets on further ECB rate hikes, including a possible December move.

The Economic Times

Global Market: Deutsche Bank sees ECB rates rising to 2.75% as energy risks persist

Deutsche Bank has raised its peak ECB interest rate projection to 2.75%, forecasting additional 25 basis point hikes in September and December. Persistent energy risks and geopolitical tensions are driving the shift, as economic resilience and elevated inflation keep borrowing costs in the euro zone higher for longer.

The Economic Times

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Euro zone bond yields tick up after oil rises on Hormuz doubts

On Thursday, bond yields in the euro zone experienced a modest uptick. Meanwhile, oil prices rebounded slightly from their recent declines, impacting overall market sentiment. Diplomatic negotiations surrounding the Strait of Hormuz are ongoing, despite mixed signals from involved parties. Traders appear to anticipate minimal additional monetary tightening from the…

The Economic Times

Euro zone yields dip from multi-year highs as oil falls on Iran sanctions

On Tuesday, government bond yields across the Euro zone saw a drop from recent peaks, accompanied by falling oil prices as traders evaluated newly imposed U.S. sanctions on Iran. Additionally, money markets adjusted their expectations regarding potential rate hikes by the European Central Bank this year. Meanwhile, recent data highlighted…

The Economic Times

Markets brace for more hawkish ECB as energy risks threaten to keep inflation elevated

Markets are increasingly pricing in a more hawkish European Central Bank as geopolitical tensions, elevated energy costs and depleted gas inventories threaten to keep eurozone inflation high. Investors see a rising probability of further rate hikes through 2027, while resilient economic activity and fading disinflationary forces add to the case…

The Economic Times

Euro zone business activity growth hits highest since November: PMI

Euro zone business activity grew fastest this year in August. Stronger new orders, particularly in manufacturing, boosted this growth. Export orders also saw an increase for the first time since early 2022. Price pressures continued to ease, reaching multi-month lows. This resilience suggests solid third-quarter economic expansion for the region.

The Economic Times

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Selloff in euro zone bonds pauses but oil prices keep up pressure

Government bond yields across the euro zone halted their upward trend on Wednesday, with the U.S. Treasury market finding stability and contributing positively to global sentiment. However, the ongoing surge in oil prices maintained upward pressure on markets. Concerns about inflation and borrowing led to notable selling in longer-dated bonds,…

The Economic Times

Euro zone bonds join global selloff, long-end yields at multi-year highs

On Tuesday, yields on longer-dated euro zone bonds surged to levels not seen in years. The increasing oil prices, spurred by diminishing expectations for a quick resolution to the conflict in Iran, intensified inflation worries throughout the markets. Consequently, investors are anticipating a quarter-point interest rate hike from the ECB,…

The Economic Times

Global Market: European shares slip as rising oil prices, bond yields weigh on sentiment

European shares edged lower on Tuesday as rising crude prices and euro zone bond yields heightened inflation concerns. The STOXX 600 fell 0.2%, while energy stocks gained 0.6% as Brent crude rose to $91.41 a barrel. Germany’s 10-year Bund yield hit its highest level since 2011, while investors awaited the…

The Economic Times

German Bund yield hits 15-year peak, France's at highest since 2009

Bond yields in the Euro zone are on the rise amid growing inflation and concerns over fiscal spending, with French yields hitting their highest since June 2009. Investors are anxious as markets expect the US to apply economic pressure on Iran rather than pursue military action. Meanwhile, rising oil prices…

The Economic Times

Global Market: Euro zone bond yields hover near 15-year highs as Middle East war fuels inflation fears

Euro zone bond yields stayed near 15-year highs as Middle East conflict-driven energy inflation raised expectations for ECB rate hikes. Germany’s 10-year Bund yield held around 3.20%, while widening Italy-Germany spreads highlighted growing geopolitical, inflation and fiscal risks across the region.

The Economic Times

Euro zone bonds little changed as oil prices steady

Euro zone bond yields showed little movement on Thursday, coinciding with steady oil prices. Recent U.S. inflation data has lessened the market's anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate increase in the upcoming month. With energy dialogues taking place and the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investors are on…

The Economic Times

Global Market: Euro zone bond yields dip ahead of US CPI, heavy debt supply

Euro zone government bond prices edged higher as investors remained cautious ahead of key U.S. inflation data and a heavy pipeline of new bond supply. Renewed tensions in the Middle East and rising oil prices added to inflation concerns, while German Bund yields eased. Markets also remained focused on upcoming…

The Economic Times

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The Economic Times

Global Market: European shares edge higher as energy stocks gain on Middle East uncertainty

European shares edged higher as energy stocks gained on elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions. Investors remained cautious ahead of key euro zone and U.S. economic data that could influence inflation, growth and interest-rate expectations.

The Economic Times

Euro zone bond yields rise as oil climbs on Hormuz doubts

Bond yields in the Euro zone saw an uptick as oil prices surged, triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's stance on Iran. The chances for a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz appear to have diminished. Investors are bracing for additional monetary tightening from the European Central Bank this year,…

The Economic Times

Global Market: European shares hit record high as peace hopes, strong earnings lift sentiment

European stock markets extended record gains as optimism over a potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement eased energy supply concerns and strong corporate earnings boosted investor confidence. Deutsche Telekom and Glanbia led sectoral advances, while resilient technology shares and improving earnings expectations supported broader market sentiment ahead of euro zone retail sales…

The Economic Times

Euro zone services revival drives activity in July but outlook clouded by Iran war, PMI shows

Euro zone business activity reached an eight-month high in July. Services activity rebounded, joining a strengthening manufacturing sector. Overall new orders saw their fastest pace since November. Employment stabilized after a six-month period of job losses. Input cost inflation eased to a five-month low.

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The Economic Times

Euro zone inflation ticks up in July, bolstering rate hike case

Euro zone inflation increased to 2.9% in July, driven by higher oil prices. Underlying inflation also accelerated, indicating broader price pressures are building. The European Central Bank is signaling another interest rate hike is likely soon. Economic growth remains robust, easing concerns about the impact of rate increases. Financial markets…

The Economic Times

Euro zone bonds snap three-day rally, yields rise with oil

As oil prices surged on Wednesday, Euro zone government bonds experienced a decline. Heightened hostilities in the Middle East were a major factor driving Brent crude upward. Economists are keenly observing energy trends for signs of inflation that might influence monetary policy changes, contributing to traders’ nervousness surrounding the upcoming…

The Economic Times

Euro zone bond rally ends as oil surge, Fed decision weigh on investors

European bond markets have largely tracked developments in the Gulf conflict since hostilities began in late February, with movements in energy prices playing a key role in shaping investor sentiment. Market participants are closely monitoring whether a sustained rise in oil prices could fuel broader inflation pressures and prompt central…

The Economic Times

Global Market: Euro zone banks tighten credit standards amid geopolitical risks, ECB survey shows

Euro zone banks tightened lending standards in the second quarter as geopolitical uncertainty and economic risks prompted greater caution, according to the ECB's latest Bank Lending Survey. While demand for business loans improved, lenders became more selective and expect credit conditions to tighten further in the coming months, reflecting persistent…

The Economic Times

Euro zone bond yields tick higher as oil remains elevated; eyes on ECB

Euro zone government bond yields are rising as oil prices remain elevated. This situation threatens inflation outlook and supports tighter European Central Bank policy. Investors are also watching Britain's gilt market after new Prime Minister Andy Burnham's appointment. Germany's 10-year bond yield reached its highest level in eight weeks. The…

The Economic Times

Euro zone bond yields tick higher along with oil prices after big swings

Euro zone bond yields edged higher on Wednesday as oil prices climbed. Germany's 2-year bond yield rose, sensitive to central bank rate expectations. Oil prices increased as the U.S. and Iran continued trading strikes. Money markets are pricing in further ECB tightening this year. U.S. inflation data showed a slowdown…

The Economic Times

Global Market: Euro zone bond yields hit near one-month high as oil surge fuels ECB rate hike bets

Euro zone government bond yields reached their highest levels in nearly a month. This rise followed a sharp jump in oil prices and heightened inflation concerns. Geopolitical tensions escalated after the United States and Iran exchanged military strikes. Money markets now price in more interest rate hikes by the European…

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