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HISTORICAL FACTS: 3 - The Untold Story

Iran conflict could have ‘very significant’ impact on UK economy, OBR warns; FTSE 100’s biggest fall in 11 months – as it happened

Spring forecast show UK unempoyment to peak higher than feared, as tax take heads for a record, but headroom against fiscal rules has increased

The Guardian - UK

Rachel Reeves’s plans could be hit by Middle East conflict, say economists

Warning comes as OBR projections in the spring forecast are expected to show public finances moving in the right direction

The Guardian - UK

OBR a backseat driver with out-of-date maps, thinktanks tell Rachel Reeves

Chancellor urged to reform Office for Budget Responsibility to open way to more public investment

The Guardian - UK

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Boring or bust: Reeves aims to project calm competence in spring forecast

After 18 months of policy U-turns and political turmoil we are told not to expect any last-minute policy rabbits

The Guardian - UK

Labour’s immigration crackdown could force Reeves to raise taxes, leading economists warn

Chancellor warned that sharper than expected fall in net migration risks hurting economic growth and tax revenues

The Independent UK

What are Reform’s economic pledges – and how sensible are they?

The former Tory minister made his first speech as Reform’s Treasury spokesman

The Independent UK

Reform would restore two-child benefit cap in full, Jenrick to pledge

The former Tory minister is to make his first speech as Reform’s Treasury spokesman.

Evening Standard

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Jenrick to outline Reform plans for OBR and net zero

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Robert Jenrick to outline Reform UK plans for Bank of England and OBR

Nigel Farage named his top team on Tuesday, which included Conservative defectors Mr Jenrick and Suella Braverman.

Evening Standard

Reform UK to overhaul OBR if it gets into power, Robert Jenrick to say

Mr Jenrick will also claim that net zero efforts have become a ‘distraction’ for the Bank of England

The Independent UK

Starmer’s options in funding a further defence spending rise would be limited

Competing domestic priorities, Treasury borrowing limits and already nervous lenders are among the many obstacles

The Guardian - UK

Reeves urged to reassure MPs over public finances amid £6bn-a-year Send costs

City analysts say financial market investors will be worried if cost is deducted from budget surplus

The Guardian - UK

Warning millions more could be stung by Reeves’ tax raid on pensions

A 2,000-a-year cap on salary sacrifice contributions will come into effect from 2029

The Independent UK

Warning issued over new salary sacrifice rules set to impact pensions

The schemes enable people to maintain their take-home pay as they end up paying lower national insurance contributions

The Independent UK

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Evening Standard

Salary sacrifice pension changes ‘could see people on modest incomes losing out’

From 2029, salary-sacrificed pension contributions above an annual £2,000 threshold will no longer be exempt from national insurance contributions.

The Independent UK

OBR has ‘earned people’s trust’ despite budget leak, says former chairman

Richard Hughes resigned from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) in December over the mistaken early publication of its forecasts.

The Guardian - UK

Rachel Reeves sets early March date for spring statement as OBR prepares forecast

Treasury announces 3 March date to prioritise ‘stability and certainty’ after criticism of buildup to November budget

Evening Standard

‘Little Christmas cheer’ for Reeves as borrowing figures higher than forecast

A borrowing figure of £11.7 billion last month was higher than the £10 billion expected.

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Evening Standard

FCA prepared to tweak car loan compensation scheme after pushback, boss says

The Financial Conduct Authority’s consultation on its proposed motor finance redress scheme closed last week, with more than 1,000 responses.

The Guardian - UK

MPs announce inquiry into work of Office for Budget Responsibility

Treasury committee will examine agency’s forecasting record and discover where it ‘needs to do better’

The Independent UK

Reeves admits Budget leaks were ‘extremely damaging’ but insists she wasn’t to blame

Chancellor hits out at ‘too many leaks’ and says inquiry is underway to root out the person responsible

Evening Standard

Reeves: PM and I decided ‘as a team’ not to hike income tax

The Chancellor also said a leak revealing she had dropped plans for an income tax rise was ‘incredibly damaging’.

Evening Standard

Resign over Budget briefing chaos, Reeves urged as she orders leak inquiry at the Treasury

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been urged to resign over the chaos in the run up to her financial statement

The Guardian - UK

Ministers urged to close £2bn tax loophole in car finance scandal

Banks and specialist lenders will not pay tax on compensation payouts, sidestepping 2015 rule

The Guardian - UK

Friday briefing: After constant leaks and a resignation, is the OBR still fit for purpose?

In today’s newsletter: Critics say the OBR’s growing influence has outpaced its accountability, raising questions about whether it serves the public, the Treasury, or the markets

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