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BIZARRE: 14 - You Need To See This

Labor maintains clear lead in all polls and is likely to win election

Labor leads by between 52–48 and 53–47 in four new national polls from Resolve, Essential, Morgan and DemosAU. While Labor’s vote slumped from a high 55.5–44.5 in Morgan to 53–47, such a slide hasn’t been seen in any other poll. Labor remains the likely winner of the election this Saturday.

The Conversation

'They want honesty': Pauline Hanson pumped about polls

With support for One Nation rising in the polls, Pauline Hanson is confident the controversial minor party will help decide the federal election outcome.

AAP

Dutton hopeful suburbs can deliver special victory

The "quiet Australians" who delivered a Liberal predecessor an unlikely election victory could hand the party another unexpected poll win, Peter Dutton insists.

AAP

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Labor takes large leads in YouGov and Morgan polls as surge continues

With just eight days until the May 3 federal election, and with in-person early voting well under way, Labor has taken a seven-point lead in a national YouGov poll and an 11-point lead in a Morgan poll. An exit poll of early voters is also encouraging for Labor.

The Conversation

'Messy' campaign has Dutton in peril amid poll plunge

Peter Dutton's unpopularity is driving a continued fall in support for the coalition, polling suggests, amid questions over the opposition's electoral strategy.

AAP

Preferences may help decide the Australian election. Here is what could happen in five crucial seats

How-to-vote cards offer some clues to how preferences may flow, but no one can be sure how closely voters will follow them – and some offer no advice

The Guardian - AU

Preference deals can decide the outcome of a seat in an election – but not always

Every election cycle the media becomes infatuated, even if temporarily, with preference deals between parties. The 2025 election is no exception, with many media reports about preference “deals” being made.

The Conversation

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Voters turn out in droves as pre-polling proves popular

Pre-polling has proven increasingly popular with more than half a million voters casting ballots on the first day as parties scramble for preference deals.

AAP

Whoever wins Australia’s election will need to work with the Senate. Here’s how it could look

The balance between left and right in the upper house may not swing wildly, but even one or two seats changing hands could prove crucial

The Guardian - AU

Labor’s poll surge continues in YouGov, but it’s barely ahead in Freshwater

Labor increased its lead again in a YouGov poll, but Freshwater put the party ahead by just 50.3–49.7. This article also covers the final WA upper house results for the March 8 election.

The Conversation

Big election energy: power debate relentlessly drives Hunter region’s politics

In all three seats surrounding the electorate of Newcastle – Hunter, Paterson and Shortland – the transition from fossil fuels is furiously contested

The Guardian - AU

Labor and the Greens likely to gain Senate seats at the election

As well as the election for the full House of Representatives, there will be an election on May 3 for 40 of the 76 senators. The 72 state senators have six-year terms, with half of them up for election every three years. The four territory senators are all up for…

The Conversation

Labor surges to 7-point lead in Resolve poll, and has sizeable leads in two other national polls

There’s been a significant turnaround in the national polls ahead of the 2025 federal election, with the momentum now moving firmly in Labor’s direction.

The Conversation

Newspoll steady but Albanese’s ratings jump; swing to Labor in marginal seats

A national Newspoll, conducted April 7–10 from a sample of 1,271, gave Labor a 52–48 lead, unchanged since the March 31 to April 4 Newspoll. Primary votes were 35% Coalition (down one), 33% Labor (steady), 12% Greens (steady), 8% One Nation (up one) and 12% for all Others (steady).

The Conversation

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AAP

Bankrupt ex-senator to appear as candidate in election

A former One Nation senator will get to remain on a federal election ballot paper, despite again failing to disclose his bankruptcy status.

The Conversation

Labor gains 5-point lead in a YouGov poll, taken during Trump tariff chaos

A national YouGov poll, conducted April 4–10 from a sample of 1,505, gave Labor a 52.5–47.5 lead, a 1.5-point gain for Labor since the March 28 to April 3 YouGov poll. This is Labor’s best result in YouGov for 18 months, and slightly better for Labor than the 2022 election…

The Conversation

Labor gains 52–48 lead in Newspoll and Redbridge as poll trend to Labor continues

A national Newspoll, conducted March 31 to April 4 from a sample of 1,250, gave Labor a 52–48 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the March 27–29 post-budget Newspoll. This is Labor’s biggest lead in Newspoll since May 2024. This poll was mostly taken before Donald Trump’s tariff announcement…

The Conversation

Labor leads in three recent national polls, four weeks from the election

The federal election will be held in four weeks. A national YouGov poll, conducted March 28 to April 3 from a sample of 1,622, gave Labor a 51–49 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous non-MRP YouGov poll taken March 14–19.

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The Conversation

Labor gains lead in post-budget Newspoll; would be one seat short of majority in YouGov MRP poll

Labor’s regaining of polling momentum has continued into the first week of the formal election campaign. A national Newspoll, conducted March 27–29 from a sample of 1,249, gave Labor a 51–49 lead, a two-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. This is Labor’s first Newspoll lead…

The Conversation

Labor regains poll lead as election called for May 3

After weeks of speculation, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese today called the 2025 federal election for May 3. This will be an election for all 150 House of Representatives seats and 40 of the 76 senators (a normal House and half-Senate election).

The Conversation

Labor gains big lead in a Morgan poll, but drops back in YouGov

A national Morgan poll, conducted March 10–16 from a sample of 2,097, gave Labor a 54.5–45.5 lead by headline respondent preferences, a three-point gain for Labor since the March 3–9 Morgan poll. This is Labor’s largest lead in a Morgan poll since August 2023.

AAP

Pauline Hanson eyes cuts on grog tax, climate spending

Pauline Hanson is taking aim at climate change spending, public servants and First Nations agencies in a bid to address the cost of living.

The Conversation

Gains for Labor as they lead in three of last five polls

A national Freshwater poll for The Financial Review, conducted March 13–15 from a sample of 1,051, gave the Coalition a 51–49 lead by respondent preferences, a one-point gain for Labor since the late February Freshwater poll.

AAP

PM downplays personal poll lift as Labor maintains lead

Anthony Albanese has improved his standing among voters, drawing level with Peter Dutton for satisfaction in polling for the first time in a year.

The Conversation

Labor wins third successive landslide in WA election

With 61% of enrolled voters counted in Saturday’s Western Australian election, the ABC is calling 40 of the 59 lower house seats for Labor, five for the Liberals and four for the Nationals, with ten remaining undecided.

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