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UNBELIEVABLE: Rajan menon | History Defined

Each side spins a different story about the US-Iran peace talks – but Tehran may have the last word

The twists and turns in this saga are bewildering, but Donald Trump appears to have the cards stacked against him, say commentator Rajan Menon

The Guardian - UK

After four bloody years, the war on Ukraine might be turning into Putin’s undoing

A battered economy, huge numbers of casualties and very little territorial gain – it’s no wonder even stalwart Putin supporters are showing signs of disquiet, says Rajan Menon, professor emeritus of international relations

The Guardian - UK

Behind the bluster, Donald Trump desperately needs a peace deal with Iran. Here’s a solution

Washington and Tehran will have to make compromises and the current deadline must be extended. But with the will there’s clearly a way, says Rajan Menon, a professor emeritus of international relations

The Guardian - UK

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Four years ago, the world expected Ukraine to be crushed, but it has stood firm. So what now for Putin?

A quick landgrab has distorted into a complex geopolitical conflict – and even Trump’s fulminations can’t seem to make Ukrainians give in, says Rajan Menon, a professor emeritus of international relations

The Guardian - UK

After Trump’s illegal Venezuela coup, there are two dangers: he is emboldened, but has no clue what comes next

He used largely fictitious charges to seize control, but can’t know how Venezuelans will react. He may also overstep now as regards Iran, warns Rajan Menon, a professor emeritus of international relations

The Guardian - UK

The EU’s deeds as much as Putin’s words will ensure the war in Ukraine continues

A €90bn loan is a lifeline for Zelenskyy. But the bloodshed won’t end while the Russian president believes he can still win, says Rajan Menon, a professor emeritus of international relations

The Guardian - UK

Trump’s ‘peace plan’ was a pro-Kremlin abomination whose failure is a glimmer of hope for Ukraine

Following criticism, the president accused Ukraine of ingratitude but also added the plan was ‘not my final offer’. Which parts of it will survive?, says Rajan Menon of the City College of New York

The Guardian - UK

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Trump’s peace plan is just about holding together, but may be unravelled by two unresolved issues

The withdrawal of Israeli troops and the establishment of an International Stabilisation force are key in securing long term peace, but the plan is dangerously vague on these issues, says professor of international relations Rajan Menon

The Guardian - UK

Putin won in Anchorage. Now Zelenskyy and Europe are in an even more perilous position

Trump’s summit failed to achieve a ceasefire, but the Russian president will be very happy with how events are unfolding, says Rajan Menon of City College of New York

The Guardian - UK

Trump cannot avoid the question much longer – is he going to join Israel’s war or not?

If he does nothing, the US president might alienate Israel supporters in his party. If he intervenes, he’ll undermine his own foreign policy, says international relations expert Rajan Menon

The Guardian - UK

Trump’s flattery and bullying of Putin have been equally ineffective – and it’s obvious why

Putin has tied his political survival to the war, and he believes Russia is winning. The US president will not make progress on peace until that changes, says international relations expert Rajan Menon

The Guardian - UK

Is a political settlement between Russia and Ukraine on the cards? I am sceptical

Neither war fatigue nor the fear of an escalation into nuclear war seem enough to spur on negotiations to end the conflict, says political scientist Rajan Menon

The Guardian - UK

A Trump presidency would leave Ukraine to its fate – because he has China in his sights

Ukrainians are determined to fight on whatever the result, but without US support their position would be perilous, says political scientist Rajan Menon

The Guardian - UK

Can China broker peace in Ukraine? Don’t rule it out

Xi Jinping’s courting of both Moscow and Kyiv seems to be making headway, say Rajan Menon and Daniel R DePetris of Defense Priorities

The Guardian - UK

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Los Angeles Times

Analysis: Vietnam and Afghanistan — America's 2 longest wars, with very different lasting impacts

WASHINGTON — When a comparison was made between the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan a year ago and a similar debacle in Vietnam 46 years earlier, President Joe Biden and his administration recoiled.

The Guardian - US

India and Pakistan at 75: partition remains an open wound as new friction points arise

The global arena in which the nuclear-armed neighbours confront each other is changing radically

Reason

The U.S. Is Spending $130 Million a Day on Military Aid for Ukraine Without Meaningful Congressional Oversight

Lawmakers are avoiding important debates about America's role in the conflict and the potential for misuse of funds and weapons.

The Guardian - US

Pentagon chief’s Russia remarks show shift in US’s declared aims in Ukraine

Defense secretary Lloyd Austin said he ‘wants to see Russia weakened’ – a sign Washington now defines its goals differently

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Salon

Ending Ukraine war: Talk or weapons?

Global outrage is understandable, say peace advocates. But pouring more arms into Ukraine won't end the killing

Reason

The U.S. Needs To Rethink Its Approach to Ukraine and Russia

“One of the problems in this crisis is that people have tried to find the magic bullet that explains everything,” says Rajan Menon of Defense Priorities.

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