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FORGOTTEN HISTORY: 13 | History Defined

Trump's tariff 'rollercoaster' raises recession risk

Donald Trump's trade war has clouded economic forecasts as Australia's central bank seeks to thread the needle to avoid the nation tipping into a recession.

AAP

The RBA has just cut its cash rate but the question already on borrowers’ lips is: when can we expect another one?

As businesses review hiring plans and consumers consider spending decisions, the Reserve Bank remains cautious

The Guardian - AU

Full extent of Trump's tariff slap on economy revealed

The Reserve Bank predicts trade uncertainty will cause Australia's GDP to grow 0.3 percentage points lower in 2025, shaving $8 billion off the economy.

AAP

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Cash rate cut to 3.85% amid lowering inflation but RBA boss warns global economy is ‘complete rollercoaster’

Michele Bullock says she does not expect Australia to fall into recession, but the bank is wary of economic conditions deteriorating

The Guardian - AU

Aussie shares push higher as rate cut lifts markets

A Reserve Bank interest rate cut has helped push the Australian share market higher and recover recent losses.

AAP

Borrowers rejoice as rates cut amid 'uncertain' times

The official cash rate has a three in front of it for the first time in two years, after the Reserve Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points.

AAP

Reserve Bank tipped to cut cash rate amid growing confidence Australia’s inflation is being tamed

Market pricing implies 95% chance of quarter point drop to 3.85%, but there’s also speculation of surprise bumper half percentage point cut

The Guardian - AU

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Search for signs of Trump trade slowdown as RBA meets

Uncertainty, both known and unknown, surrounding Donald Trump's tariffs and their economic impact could spur the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates on Tuesday.

AAP

Interest rate cut tipped despite Trump tariff backdown

The Reserve Bank is widely expected to deliver a second interest rate cut as global trade uncertainty threatens to rain on Australia's economy.

AAP

Mortgage relief could be limited as jobs market expands

An unexpected jump in employment has led the money market to pare back its hopes for further mortgage relief after a widely expected rate cut next week.

AAP

Money still on rate cut despite surprise spike in wages

Workers have enjoyed their sixth consecutive quarter of pay packet growth as all eyes turn to the Reserve Bank's upcoming decision on interest rates.

AAP

The Reserve Bank played it safe and didn’t cut interest rates in April – and households suffer

As we focused on the election, the latest retail trade figures came out – and they stunk. Another reason why the RBA should have cut

The Guardian - AU

Inflation is easing, boosting the case for another interest rate cut in May

Australia’s headline inflation rate held steady at a four-year low of 2.4% in the March quarter, according to official data, adding to the case for a cut in interest rates at the next Reserve Bank board meeting in May.

The Conversation

Rate cut likely as underlying inflation falls within RBA target range

Headline inflation – which includes the impact of government cost-of-living policies such as rebates – held steady at 2.4% in the year to March

The Guardian - AU

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AAP

Jobs market strong but Trump tariff bomb yet to explode

Australia's jobs market is holding up better than expected, but the impact of Donald Trump-imposed tariffs is yet to play out across the globe.

AAP

Trump tariff trouble to cast shadow on domestic market

While fresh insight into the Reserve Bank's rate decision is set to be revealed, all economic eyes will continue to be on the fallout from US-imposed tariffs.

The Guardian - AU

Morning Mail: Trump backtracks on tariffs, Coalition’s nuclear threat to renewable projects, fears for yellow-bellied glider

Trump has lowered some tariffs for 90 days except for China, which faces another increased tariff

AAP

Bank boss alert, not alarmed over Trump tariff fallout

As rate-cut bets see-saw, the Reserve Bank governor says Australia is well placed for overseas shocks in her first speech since Donald Trump's tariff thump.

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The Guardian - AU

Trump’s tariffs could push Australia into recession town. So why is the RBA waiting until May to meet?

Our central bank continues to act as though nothing out of the ordinary has happened. In fact, the opposite is true

AAP

RBA governor expected to address tariff impacts

As the dust settles on Donald Trump's 'liberation day' tariff dump, a speech by Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock will be closely scrutinised.

AAP

Australia records rare US trade surplus on tariff day

The treasurer has ordered new modelling into the impact of Donald Trump's tariffs, as Australia boasts a temporary trade surplus with the United States.

The Guardian - AU

You never know what you’re gonna get: Australians will have to wait until after the election to see if there’s an interest rate cut

The Reserve Bank says they are cautious about the outlook. Caution is fine, but indolence in the face of a challenging world is not

AAP

Two data prints and a Trump wildcard to decide rate cut

Mortgage holders could know by April 30 whether to expect more interest rate relief, as the Reserve Bank casts its eyes on a crucial inflation reading.

The Guardian - AU

Afternoon Update Election 2025: PM won’t bow to tariff threats; RBA holds rates; and campaign dog of the day

Tuesday’s campaign trail has dominated by healthcare, “wokeism” and transport.

Euronews

Week ahead: Global sentiment sours as Trump’s auto and reciprocal tariffs loom

This week, Trump’s auto and reciprocal tariffs are set to rattle the global markets as sentiment soured amid recession fears. Key economic data, including inflation readings from the eurozone, employment change from the US, and Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate decisions, will be in focus.

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