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REVEALED: 3 | Vintage Vibes

Australian households face prospect of interest rate hike and petrol prices rising above $2 a litre

Economists’ warning comes as escalating Middle East crisis pushes global crude oil back above $US100 a barrel

The Guardian - AU

Higher rates and pricey petrol as economic outlook dims

Australian bonds traders are fully pricing in another Reserve Bank rate hike by the end of the year after a surprisingly strong rise in employment in June.

AAP

The jobs market is holding steady, what does that mean for my mortgage?

Are stable jobs numbers enough to keep the cash rate on hold?

The Canberra Times

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Employment surges in June, leaving the door open to further interest rate rises

Around 76,300 Australians gained a job in June, well above market expectations, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.4%.

The Conversation

Shares trim gains as bets narrow on interest rate hike

A sustained bounce in miners has pushed the ASX to a third session of gains but tightness in the labour market is putting pressure on the Reserve Bank.

AAP

Think you have a handle on how Australia’s economy works? Take the RBA’s quiz and find out

The Reserve Bank wants Australians to understand how its interest rate decisions affect inflation, employment and growth

The Guardian - AU

How trust in the RBA could help keep interest rates low

Increased knowledge and trust in the Reserve Bank correlates with lower expectations of inflation, which has implications for setting interest rates.

AAP

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Jobs data tops economic agenda as Iran war re-escalates

Resilient jobs data is a bright spot for Australia's economy but the longer the Middle East conflict drags on, the worse the prospect for growth and inflation.

AAP

One Nation’s economic thought bubbles have little substance – except for one

The idea of a people’s bank has been long floated by the Greens. Anything that reduces the oligopoly power of the big four banks is a good thing

The Guardian - AU

Trump threatens to shoot down signs of economic rebound

Oil prices are rising again as conflict between the US and Iran reignites, threatening a recent recovery in household confidence and spending.

AAP

Fourth Australian interest rate rise more likely if Trump’s Iran conflict not resolved within a week

Economists warn continued airstrikes could push oil prices beyond US$100 a barrel, increasing chance of further RBA rate hike

The Guardian - AU

Inflation-fuelling supply shocks under RBA microscope

The Reserve Bank is aiming to make its communications more accessible to a broader audience as it tries to ward off rising inflation expectations.

AAP

Longest stretch of weak growth since 1990s forecast

Rarely has Australia's near-term economic outlook appeared so gloomy, says Deloitte Access Economics.

AAP

Home building data, RBA speech top the economic agenda

The time to build a new home in Australia has fallen by 10 per cent in two years but the country is still falling behind the pace on its 1.2 million target.

AAP

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The Guardian - AU

Rapid demand for AI datacentres in Australia could stoke inflation, experts warn – and crowd out land for housing

Calls are growing for new datacentre approvals to be halted until stronger protections are considered

Newcastle Herald

Going down: Newcastle and Lake Macquarie home values drop for a second month

Revised data from Cotality shows the market peaked in April.

AAP

Weak housing market could imperil Australia's economy

The Reserve Bank says it will not hesitate to raise interest rates again if necessary, according to minutes from its latest board meeting.

AAP

Home price data another window into tax change fallout

Property market data will soon be released after the Reserve Bank unveils a readout from its latest interest rate-setting board meeting.

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AAP

Treasurer responds after budget attack by ex-RBA head

Former Reserve Bank governor Phillip Lowe has described Labor's latest federal budget as a "redistribution agenda".

AAP

Strong jobs figures clock on for future rate rise shift

More than 40,000 jobs have been added to Australia's economy to exceed expectations, but slowing growth could ease the Reserve Bank's inflation fears.

The Guardian - AU

Interest rate hikes remain on cards as Australia’s underlying inflation climbs, economists warn

Despite plunging fuel prices, trimmed mean inflation increased from an annual pace of 3.4% to 3.6%

The Conversation

Underlying inflation is still too high, keeping another interest rate hike on the table

The latest inflation figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics look, at first glance, like good news. The headline rate for May rose 4.0% over the past year, down from 4.2% in April.

AAP

Inflation lying in wait to strike another rate blow

Despite a fall in headline inflation, a larger-than-expected rise in the underlying figure leaves the door open to more Reserve Bank rate hikes.

AAP

Oil and milk prices to spill the tea on inflation story

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will this week release inflation and employment figures for May and a senior Reserve Bank official will speak.

The Guardian - AU

The bleak view that unemployment needs to rise shows the RBA acts firstly in the interests of companies, not workers

The Reserve Bank governor has made clear the cash rate has been increased not to reduce inflation but to make it harder to bargain for higher wages

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Australian Bureau of Statistics

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Deloitte Access Economics

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