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THE TRUTH ABOUT: 3 - Caught on Camera

Every article I saw today on Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole focused on the idea that raising rates will cause “pain” to the economy. This sparked a nasty -3.37% scalping of the S&P 500 (SPY) and having investors pondering if we are about to revisit the June lows.…

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Bulls or Bears in Charge?

Survey investors in June and no doubt the bears are in charge. Then we go on a 2 month rally with 18% upside for the S&P 500 (SPY) and the bulls seem to be King of the Hill. Now we have backslid a bit over the past week. And the…

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5 Reasons To Still Be Bearish

The recent rally in stocks (SPY) has been impressive. But it is still officially a bear market and there are 5 reasons that bears will not be waving a white flag soon. Lets review why stocks rallied...why they are likely to stall at this level...and the 5 reasons why the…

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Investors: Do You Have the Patience to Weather THIS Bear Market?

Bear markets require more patience than bull markets. That’s because the rallies are so impressive that it beckons you to come back on board only before crashing to new lows. Truly a “sirens song” for investors. Let 40 year investment veteran Steve Reitmeister explain to you why stocks (SPY) will…

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Don’t Be a Sucker…the Worst Is Still to Come

Inflation news provides more signs the worst in the stock market (SPY) is not behind us. Earnings season is providing more signs the worst is not behind us. Economic reports are providing more signs the worst is not yet behind us. The only confusion is all the silly little "suckers…

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What is the Next Bear Market Catalyst?

2022 has not been fun as the S&P 500 (SPY) has spent the better part of the last month in bear market territory. For as painful as that is there is good reason to believe that the worst is still to come. Why is that? How much lower can stocks…

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Stock Market Bottom? Think Again…

Determining bear market bottom is much easier in hindsight than doing it in real time. That's because the stock market (SPY) offers up many impressive bounces that give the illusion of the worst being over...just before you drop to even lower lows. So price action is a tricky way to…

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Recession is Here...Watch Out Below!

More and more it looks like recession is here. This includes a dramatic decline for ISM Manufacturing discovered this morning. As you likely know, most economist call manufacturing the "canary in the coal mine" for the US economy as it often shows weakness before other areas. In fact, GDP Now…

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Stocks to Fall MUCH FURTHER this Bear Market Cycle

Spoiler alert...the bear market is not over. Unfortunately history shows that the S&P 500 (SPY) has much further to fall to squeeze out excess valuation. That is just a natural part of the bear market process that is properly explained in this timely market commentary. More importantly, this commentary provides…

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Investors: Please AVOID Cash During This Bear Market

When most people hear the sirens of the bear market they run for cover in cash. But is that the smartest idea when inflation is over 8% and your cash accounts still pay virtually nothing? (That was a rhetorical question). Gladly there is a better way to carve out profits…

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Bear Market Q&A

The main question of bull or bear market has been answered quite loudly this week. BEAR!!! That is because we have spent 5 straight sessions in bear market territory, with the S&P 500 (SPY) dropping below 3,855. Now more investors are getting the memo and running for the exits at…

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How Low Will Stocks Go?

The bear market is here. Let there be no doubt about that. Now we need to explore how low the S&P 500 (SPY) will go in the months ahead along with a trading plan to outperform. (Hint: Shorting stocks is #1 on the list of things to do). 40 year…

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Why the Odds of a Bear Market Are Increasing by the Day

Last week I was a "Doubting Thomas" when it came to the staying power of the recent S&P 500 (SPY) rally. It just looked like yet another in a long line of failed bounces in 2022 before the next leg lower. Gladly this recent bounce gave us the opportunity to…

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Bear Market Here We Come?

40 year investment veteran Steve Reitmeister is not a permabear by any stretch of the imagination. Thus, when he becomes cautious on the stock market’s (SPY) outlook it pays to listen. Read on below for Steve’s current market outlook and trading plan to outperform even as a bear market unfolds…

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Is This the Formation of a Bear Market?

The S&P 500 (SPY) staged an impressive rally since hitting a low of 3,810 on May 20th. Unfortunately the more I look at the facts in hand...the more concerned I am that this is the formation of a bear market...the more defensive measures I am making in my newsletter services,…

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Bull vs. Bear Contingency Plans

The S&P 500 (SPY) has endured its 2nd trip down towards bear market territory before a bounce ensued. This last downturn is thanks to the ugly earnings from both WalMart and Target. This is indeed a precarious time and we have to contemplate the odds of bull vs. bear market…

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Off Target?

There was reason for optimism earlier in the week as the S&P 500 (SPY) advanced nicely after skirting bear market territory. But then on Tuesday WalMart had shockingly poor earnings which was easily ignored. Unfortunately the next day Target reported even worse results and the investment world took notice with…

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2 Reasons Bear Market Scare May Be Over

The stock market (SPY) flirted with bear market territory last week before bouncing higher. However, this bounce feels different…like it might actually be the end of this downside scare. 40 year investment veteran Steve Reitmeister spells out the 2 main reasons that the bulls might be back in charge and…

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Stock Market Moment of Truth

It is clear at this stage that investors want to push stocks (SPY) to the edge of bear market. That 20% sell off from the highs equates to 3,855 where there truly will be a battle for the soul of this market. Is there truly enough belief to push down…

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Is the Stock Market Bottoming Now?

After the stock market (SPY) made new lows on Monday we have seen a fairly courageous bounce. But will it last??? More likely we are in a bottoming process that will have us make lower, scarier lows before a lasting return to the bull market. Read on below for the…

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April 28th is Pivotal Day for Stock Market

Bulls and bears have been squabbling over the direction of the stock market (SPY) since the start of the year. Right now the bears are winning. But the bulls have not lost hope because the economy seems to be in fine shape. That may all change Thursday morning, April 28th…

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Raging Rates & Stock Market Outlook

10 Year Treasury rates have more than doubled since December to nearly 3% today. This is creating quite a stir as some investors believe this is a sign that the next bear market is soon upon us. To them I say…slow your roll! Let’s take an honest look at where…

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Peak Inflation and the Stock Market Outlook

The yield curve is no longer inverted, but inflation continues to rage higher as proven by the 11.2% reading for PPI today. However, this is a growing chorus of market commentators who see signs of “peak inflation” which means lower inflation ahead and potentially an all clear signal for the…

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How the Inverted Yield Curve Could Impact the Market This Week

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a trading range around those levels for a while as investors…

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Bear Market Warning? The Inverted Yield Curve

Few things scare investors more than the specter of an inverted yield curve as it so frequently points to a forthcoming recession and bear market. And yes, the average bear market in history has led to a 34% drop in the S&P 500 (SPY). That’s why it pays to review…

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