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HISTORICAL FACTS: 5 | History Defined

Woeful Victorian poll for state Coalition; Victoria and NSW to lose federal seats as WA gains

A Victorian state Resolve poll for The Age, conducted with the federal May and June Resolve polls from a sample of about 1,000, gave Labor 41% of the primary vote (down one since April), the Coalition just 26% (down four), the Greens 15% (up five), independents 12% (steady) and others…

The Conversation

Support for Vic coalition drops to new low, poll shows

A new Resolve Strategic poll shows the Victorian Liberal and National parties trailing behind the Labor government.

AAP

Resolve first national poll to have 'no' ahead in Voice referendum, but Essential has 'yes' far ahead

A federal Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted last week from a sample of 1,606, had “no” ahead by 51-49 in a forced choice question on the Indigenous Voice to parliament referendum to be held later this year.

The Conversation

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Australians’ support for Indigenous voice steady with 60% in favour, Essential poll finds

Guardian Essential poll finds high level of backing for voice to parliament, despite other polls showing support flagging

The Guardian - AU

London Irish training ground could be sold to pay creditors after administration

Exiles owner Mick Crossan wants to protect the Hazelwood facility but it is now officially part of the club’s administration process

Evening Standard

Labor maintains large Newspoll lead, but support for Voice slumps

A federal Newspoll, conducted May 31 to June 3 from a sample of 1,549, gave Labor a 55-45 lead, unchanged from the last Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Labor (steady), 34% Coalition (steady), 12% Greens (up one), 6% One Nation (down one) and 10% for all Others…

The Conversation

Labor maintains large lead in post-budget polls a year after winning election, but Voice support slumps

Since the May 9 budget, there have been polls from Resolve, Essential, Morgan and Newspoll. Labor has a large lead in all of these polls. It’s almost a year since Labor won the May 21 2022 election by a 52.1-47.9 national two party margin, but its honeymoon is continuing, and…

The Conversation

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More companies help with fertility care, but it is still out of reach for many

Coverage of fertility treatments remains hard to find in many corners of health insurance even as it grows briskly with big employers that see it as a must-have benefit to keep workers

The Independent UK

While the Voice has a large poll lead now, history of past referendums indicates it may struggle

Support for the Indigenous Voice to Parliament has dropped since the first polls that asked about it in late 2022. Analyst Kevin Bonham has plotted all the poll results, and the average Voice support is down from 65% in August 2022 to 57% now.

The Conversation

Labor gains in Newspoll but Voice support slumps in other polls; NSW final results and Queensland polls

A federal Newspoll, conducted April 19-22 from a sample of 1,514, gave Labor a 56-44 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Labor (steady), 33% Coalition (steady), 11% Greens (up one), 7% One Nation (down one) and 11% for all…

The Conversation

Voice support increases in Essential and Resolve polls

In the latest Essential poll, support for the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to parliament increased slightly to 60-40, from 59-41 in March. But hard “no” support was up two to 26%, soft “no” was down three to 14%, while 27% remained soft “yes” supporters.

The Conversation

Them’s the Breaks review – join the community at art’s new frontier

Resolve’s collaborative exhibition features a library, a workshop and a stage made from recycled materials – all set up for visitors to make their own change

The Guardian - UK

Labor two seats short of a majority in final NSW lower house results, plus a polling critique

At the March 25 New South Wales state election, Labor won 45 of the 93 lower house seats (up nine since the 2019 election), the Coalition 36 (down 12), the Greens three (steady), independents nine (up six) and the Shooters zero (down three).

The Conversation

Final NSW Newspoll gives Labor a thumping lead; federal Labor's lead widens

The New South Wales state election is today. Polls close at 6pm AEDT. Votes cast on election day should be counted quickly, but large pre-poll booths are likely to take until late at night or next week.

The Conversation

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The Guardian - AU

At the NSW election, Labor is poised for a clean sweep – but Perrottet’s gamble may pay off

In the final week of the state election campaign, not a single pebble is being left unturned by the Coalition government

The Conversation

NSW Resolve poll has narrow lead for Labor five days before election

The New South Wales state election will be held on Saturday. I had a preview of both the lower and upper houses last week.

The Conversation

Labor slides in a federal Newspoll; NSW polls give Labor a modest lead

A federal Newspoll, conducted March 1-4 from a sample of 1,530, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since the previous Newspoll in early February. Primary votes were 37% Labor (down one), 35% Coalition (up one), 10% Greens (down one), 7% One Nation (up one) and…

The Conversation

Labor's lead reduced in a NSW Newspoll four weeks before election; Voice support steady

The New South Wales state election will be held in nearly four weeks, on March 25. A Newspoll, conducted February 20-23 from a sample of 1,014, gave Labor a 52-48 lead, a two-point gain for the Coalition since a September NSW Newspoll. Primary votes were 37% Coalition (up two), 36%…

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The Conversation

Labor's lead drops in Resolve and Essential polls, but they are still far ahead

A federal Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted February 15-19 from a sample of 1,604, gave Labor 40% of the primary vote (down two since January), the Coalition 31% (up two), the Greens 10% (down one), One Nation 5% (down one), the UAP 1% (down one), independents 9% (up one)…

The Conversation

Albanese's Newspoll ratings drop but Labor maintains big lead

A federal Newspoll, conducted February 1-4 from a sample of 1,512, gave Labor a 55-45 lead, unchanged on the previous Newspoll in early December. Primary votes were 38% Labor (down one), 34% Coalition (down one), 11% Greens (steady), 6% One Nation (steady) and 11% for all Others (up two).

The Conversation

How much has support for the Voice fallen? It depends on how you ask

Support for embedding an Indigenous Voice to parliament in the Constitution has fallen. The polls provide good evidence once you work out how to find it.

The Conversation

Labor maintains lead over Coalition in both federal and NSW Resolve polls

A federal Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted January 17-22 from a sample of 1,606 people, has given Labor 42% of the primary vote (steady since early December), the Coalition 29% (down one), the Greens 11% (steady), One Nation 6% (up two), the UAP 2% (steady), independents 8% (steady) and…

The Conversation

Labor just ahead in two Queensland polls and retains large federal poll lead

The Poll Bludger reported on two Queensland polls on December 12. A YouGov poll for The Courier Mail, conducted December 1-8 from a sample of 1,000, had a 50-50 tie, unchanged since June. Primary votes were 38% LNP (steady), 34% Labor (steady), 13% Greens (down one), 11% One Nation (up…

The Conversation

Grattan on Friday: Australians are starting to feel the economic pain, but they are not taking it out on Albanese

Anthony Albanese heads towards Christmas with inflation, interest rates and power prices all high. But, comfortingly for Labor, his own popularity is up there too.

The Conversation

Resolve poll gives Labor huge lead; US Democrats win Georgia Senate runoff

A federal Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted November 30 to December 4 from a sample of 1,611, gave Labor 42% of the primary vote (up three since the post-budget Resolve poll in late October), the Coalition 30% (down two), the Greens 11% (down two), One Nation 4% (steady), the…

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