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UNBELIEVABLE: 4 | History Defined

Kamala Harris the slight favourite to win US election as she narrowly leads in key states

The US presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.3–46.0 – a slight widening of the competition since last Monday, when Harris led Trump by 49.2–46.2.

The Conversation

Why can the US election vote count take so long? What to know in 500 words

US states determine ballot counting procedures in federal elections, with varying count times fuelling misinformation.

Al Jazeera

More Vance Than Anyone Could Ever Need

Plus: Long live Eric Adams, Electoral College bias, and more...

Reason

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

Trump turns Christian nationalism toxic

"Two-thirds of the country rejects this anti-democratic ideology," explains Robert P. Jones of PRRI

Salon

Harris’ post-debate gains sustained in US polls, but Republicans likely to gain Senate control

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.2–46.2. In my previous US politics article last Wednesday, Harris led Trump by 48.9–46.0.

The Conversation

Why Pennsylvania is the key to a Harris or Trump Electoral College victory

With less than two months until Election Day, Pennsylvania has emerged as the keystone state in each party’s plan to win the White House.

The Conversation

Harris gains in post-debate US national polls, but will her gains be sustained?

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.9–46.0. In my previous US politics article on September 9, Harris led Trump by 48.7–46.2.

The Conversation

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Harris’ lead dips in national US polls and it’s very close in the key states

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.7–46.2. In my previous US politics article on August 30, Harris led Trump by 48.8–45.0.

The Conversation

Two Insistent Predictions In The 2024 Presidential Race, Two Different Winners

Nate Silver says Donald Trump appears to be pulling ahead, while Allan Lichtman predicts victory for Kamala Harris

International Business Times

Harris’ win probability falls slightly after Democratic convention and Kennedy withdrawal

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.8–45.0. In my previous US politics article last Sunday, Harris led Trump by 48.8–44.8.

The Conversation

How the 14th Amendment prevents state legislatures from subverting popular presidential elections

Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election not only failed, but some of them also rested on a misreading of the U.S. Constitution, as our new analysis argues. The relevant constitutional provision dates back to just after the Civil War, and contemporaries recognized it as…

The Conversation

An unseen problem with the Electoral College – it tells bad guys where to target their efforts

Over the past four years, Congress and state governments have worked hard to prevent the aftermath of the 2024 election from descending into the chaos and threats to democracy that occurred around the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

The Conversation

Here’s how to vote in the Texas 2024 election

Election day is Nov. 5. Here is everything you need to know about casting a ballot in Texas.

The Texas Tribune

Kamala Harris’ polls surge stalls ahead of Democratic National Convention

The US presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 47.1–44.6% with 4.2% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article last Wednesday, Harris led Trump by 46.8–43.7%.

The Conversation

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Salon

The right's 50-year plot against America

Author David Daley on the far right's long-term "Antidemocratic" strategy, and how we just might beat it

The Conversation

Harris’ lead over Trump continues to increase in US national and swing state polls

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 46.8–43.7 with 3.9% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article on August 5, Harris led Trump by 45.5–44.1.

The Conversation

Kamala Harris edges ahead of Donald Trump in national polls for US election

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. Election analyst Nate Silver’s national poll aggregate has Democratic nominee and current vice president Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump by 45.5–44.1%, with 5.0% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Salon

Examination: Are the polls even reliable

After Biden's dismal debate against Trump, pundits turn to polls to learn America's future; what do they say?

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Capital & Main

How Britain’s July 4 Elections Differ From the U.S.

A parliamentary system, more disciplined parties and no electoral college have some advantages for democracy, says Cambridge-based U.S. historian Gary Gerstle.

The Conversation

Americans break election ties in crazy ways − and jeopardize democracy in the process

Commentators and observers are concerned about the possibility of a tie in the November 2024 presidential election. One possibility is that both major-party candidates end up with 269 electoral votes – one short of the 270 required to claim victory. Another scenario is that Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who appears…

WEKU

How the Founding Fathers' concept of 'Minority Rule' is alive and well today

Journalist Ari Berman says the founding fathers created a system that concentrated power in the hands of an elite minority — and that their decisions continue to impact American democracy today.