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Elevated oil prices could drag India's growth to 6%, below IMF forecast of 6.5%: Gita Gopinath

Elevated oil prices could slow India's economic growth to around 6%, according to former IMF official Gita Gopinath. She warned that prolonged West Asian tensions could further impact global growth and India's prospects. Gopinath emphasized supply-side reforms, renewable energy, and improving ease of doing business to boost investment and strengthen…

The Economic Times

RBI likely to hold rates as West Asia crisis impact on growth remains unclear: Bank of Baroda Report

The Reserve Bank of India is expected to hold interest rates steady on Friday, according to Bank of Baroda. The central bank will likely maintain a data-dependent approach, balancing growth concerns with rising inflation risks. An upward revision in inflation forecasts is anticipated due to increased fuel prices and ongoing…

The Economic Times

Asia's industrial supercycle is outpacing the West Asia oil shock: Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley

A China-driven supply realignment, cutting gas imports by 45% and oil by 30%, has effectively added 7.5 million barrels daily to global markets, neutralising energy price fears. Morgan Stanley's Chetan Ahya argues a broad-based capex boom across AI, energy, defence, and industrial sectors is powering Asian growth, while urging India…

The Economic Times

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Cabinet approves Rs 10,000 crore for ATF price stabilization fund

The Union Cabinet has approved a Rs 10,000 crore Aviation Turbine Fuel Price Stabilisation Fund. This fund aims to protect airlines and passengers from the sharp rise in ATF prices. The ongoing West Asia crisis has significantly impacted aviation fuel costs. This initiative will help manage the financial strain on…

The Economic Times

Rising crude and aluminium prices: Bharat Subramanian on what it means for India's energy and metals sectors

Geopolitical tensions in West Asia are driving up oil and aluminium prices. This benefits upstream oil explorers while squeezing oil marketing companies. Analysts see a potential new commodity upcycle. Aluminium prices are expected to peak next year. China's demand remains a key factor for global commodities. Investors are watching for…

The Economic Times

MSMEs to bear bigger hit than large firms from West Asia conflict: Crisil

The ongoing crisis in West Asia has struck a harsh chord for Indian small enterprises, leaving them vulnerable to significant setbacks. Anticipated decreases in production and revenue are creating a precarious balance for many, as mounting trade obstacles and rising expenditures apply further pressure on profits.

The Economic Times

Why Trideep Bhattacharya is betting on financials and energy despite global uncertainty

Indian equity markets face near-term pressure from the West Asia conflict. Corporate earnings remain resilient, though FY27 estimates may see modest downgrades. The June quarter is expected to be challenging. Financials are an attractive sector with accelerating credit growth. Long-term opportunities lie in capital goods, renewable energy, and energy transition…

The Economic Times

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Nifty at 25,900 by March 2027? Nomura cites key catalysts to watch out for

Indian stocks have seen a sharp fall. Nomura predicts the Nifty will climb almost 11% to reach 25,900 by March 2027. This optimism stems from hopes of a West Asia conflict resolution and a strong AI theme. Despite recent selling by foreign investors, Indian equities have shown resilience. Nomura favors…

The Economic Times

A ₹3 lakh crore rain check? India’s monsoon now comes with a Hormuz fine print

India’s fertiliser supply chain is under strain as the West Asia conflict disrupts shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for imports. The crisis comes just as India faces a below-normal monsoon forecast, with the IMD projecting rainfall at 90% of the long-term average and a 92% probability…

The Economic Times

Indian Railways achieves 145 million tonnes freight loading in May despite global headwinds

The increase in loading has been achieved despite challenges arising from the ongoing geopolitical situation in West Asia and its indirect impact on logistics and supply chains. Indian Railways remained focused on ensuring uninterrupted movement of essential commodities across the country through continuous operational monitoring and efficient asset utilisation, it…

The Economic Times

India's CPI inflation expected to rise to 4.8% with crude oil averaging USD 90/bbl in FY27: Report

Forecasts indicate that by FY27, India’s inflation could hit 4.8%, driven by crude oil prices projected at USD 90 per barrel. Factors such as the ongoing conflict in West Asia and a less favorable monsoon outlook are pivotal. Economic growth might taper to 6.3%, with both fiscal and current account…

The Economic Times

Banks sanction Rs 35,000 cr loans under ECLGS to MSMEs to deal with West Asia crisis

Banks have disbursed Rs 35,000 crore in loans under the Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme. This initiative supports MSMEs and industries affected by the West Asia conflict. The scheme aims to provide crucial liquidity and prevent job losses. It offers additional credit and guarantees to eligible businesses.

The Economic Times

Fragile ceasefire faces fresh test as missiles keep flying as Iran, US trade new blows: Key details

Tensions in West Asia surged as Iran's IRGC claimed to target a US military base, while Washington announced fresh strikes on Iranian radar and command-and-control sites. Kuwait's air defense systems also responded to drone and missile attacks amid ongoing exchanges and diplomatic efforts.

The Times of India

RBI MPC meet: Central bank likely to maintain status quo on rates, adopt cautious approach amid West Asia crisis

Experts anticipate the Reserve Bank of India will maintain its key policy rate at 5.25 percent this week. The central bank is expected to adopt a cautious approach, considering potential inflation headwinds and growth challenges. Factors like West Asia turmoil, rising energy prices, and a weakening rupee are influencing this…

The Economic Times

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The Economic Times

Shivraj Chouhan to launch 'Khet Bachao Abhiyan' on June 1 as Govt reviews fertiliser, fuel stocks amid West Asia crisis

Union Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan launches Khet Bachao Abhiyan nationwide from June 1. The campaign aims to reduce excessive fertiliser use and promote balanced application. It will run until June 30, starting from Raisen, Madhya Pradesh. The minister will visit farms across the country. This initiative supports the Prime…

The Economic Times

Private investment, not West Asia crisis, is India's growth challenge: Surjit Bhalla

Economist Surjit Bhalla states weak private investment is hindering India's economic growth. He believes strong GDP numbers earlier were misleading, driven by government spending. Bhalla argues private investment is more efficient. He dismisses the West Asia crisis as the primary cause. Bhalla suggests policy changes after 2015 made it difficult…

The Economic Times

Petrol, Diesel Prices on May 31: Has your city's fuel rate changed? Check how much you'll pay in Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru, Kolkata and other cities

Petrol, Diesel Prices on May 31: Fuel prices remained unchanged on Sunday, May 31, after a series of recent hikes pushed petrol and diesel rates to their highest levels since 2022. The increase in fuel prices has been driven by rising global crude oil prices following supply disruptions in West…

The Economic Times

"Govt has to raise electricity bills amid West Asia crisis, people should take it positively": UP Minister on 10% electricity bill hike

Uttar Pradesh residents will face a 10 percent rise in electricity bills starting June. This increase is attributed to escalating fuel costs and the Fuel and Power Purchase Adjustment Surcharge. Minister Narendra Kashyap urged citizens to view this revision positively. The UP Power Corporation Limited confirmed the surcharge is in…

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The Economic Times

From West Asia to the Indian Ocean, maritime security challenges are interconnected; Op Sindoor proved readiness, says Navy Chief

Chief of Naval Staff Admiral Dinesh K Tripathi highlighted that India's security is increasingly impacted by global events, with maritime security intrinsically linked to economic and energy security. He emphasized the need for jointness and integration among armed forces, while the Navy actively monitors strategic developments in the Indian Ocean…

The Economic Times

El Niño effect: Why India may see weak monsoon and harsher summer

India faces a double blow as the IMD forecasts below-normal monsoon rainfall, with a 60% chance of deficient rains due to El Niño. This, coupled with the West Asia crisis impacting agricultural inputs, threatens the farm sector and the rural economy, potentially leading to broader economic challenges.

The Economic Times

Resilient Indian economy may face West Asia headwinds; El Nino impact likely on agri output: RBI

As energy prices surge and supply chain disruptions persist, India's economic landscape is indeed testing its resilience; yet, robust financial health among corporations and banks, bolstered by proactive government investments, is set to fuel progress, the RBI said.

The Economic Times

Energy prices, current account deficit, balance of payments big priorities right now: CEA

Managing macroeconomic fundamentals like balance of payments and current account deficit is a top priority for the government. The West Asia conflict has caused a global energy shock. Chief economic advisor V Anantha Nageswaran highlighted this urgency. He also spoke on securitisation and microfinance thresholds. Priority Sector Lending mandates are…

The Economic Times

India steers boat through a risky channel between war clouds and El Nino

India faces a challenging global economic outlook for 2026-27. Geopolitical tensions and volatile oil prices are key concerns. However, India is building resilience through infrastructure, manufacturing incentives, and reduced import dependence. The nation is positioning itself as an investment destination amidst global uncertainty. Domestic demand and strategic initiatives offer a…

The Economic Times

West Asia conflict a stagflationary shock; world economy not ready for a long war: Bank of America

The West Asia conflict has triggered a stagflationary shock, impacting global growth and inflation. Bank of America forecasts a lower global growth projection, with disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz being a critical factor. Oil prices are expected to remain elevated, impacting energy importers, while central banks face difficult decisions.

The Economic Times

'Very close': JD Vance says US nears agreement on Strait of Hormuz, Iran nuclear setback

US Vice President JD Vance said Washington is "very close" to achieving a broader strategic agreement in West Asia, asserting that recent US actions will reopen the Strait of Hormuz, weaken Iran's conventional military capabilities, and position the United States to significantly delay Tehran's nuclear programme.

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