Results from the 2022 midterms show less competition for House seats than seen in 2020 and 2018. While races are still more competitive than the norm during the Obama years, it appears that the Trump-era disruption – which saw 102 seats in play in 2018 – is dissipating.
It is unclear whether this is due to a natural settlement into a new status quo, as parties have adapted to shifting regional voting preferences or a result of the newest redistricting since the 2020 Census. Also, widespread changes in the way people vote brought on by the 2020 pandemic may have made seats safer for incumbents.
