Not everybody turns into gold. Every year on NFL draft night, we hear about how every team has satisfied multiple needs, taking players from college who are destined for greatness.
The reality? First-round picks are far from a sure thing. From 2015 to ’20 (the last classes to have all played through their fifth-year options), there were 191 players selected in the first round. Only 61, a lackluster 31.9%, have gotten second contracts from their respective teams. And looking at the 2024 class, some guys are already on pace to be part of the majority who change addresses after their rookie deal.
