Anyone's game: Right now, the race looks extremely close. Kamala Harris has changed course a bit in the last two weeks, choosing to get herself out there a bit more, but via aggressively normie formats instead of traditional media spots: The View, The Howard Stern Show, the absolutely terrible millennial/Gen Z podcast Call Her Daddy, and possibly the worst of all: sharing a Miller High Life with Stephen Colbert. Harris has a narrow lead in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia; Trump is leading in Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. Pew finds that Harris is the favorite of 48 percent of registered voters, while Trump has won over 47 percent. The New York Times notes that her fundraising haul has far outpaced his.
None of this is to say that Harris is a good candidate or that I want to spend a single minute of my short time on God's green Earth listening to mid-L.A. millennials yas kweening Harris on abortion rights; it's just to say that she's performing decently well in this last stretch. But she has one major liability: her inability to win over Latino voters.
