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Barchart
Barchart
Rich Asplund

DARK SECRETS: Cocoa prices consolidate above recent lows - The Real Truth

May ICE NY cocoa (CCK26) on Thursday closed up +11 (+0.36%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH26) closed down -25 (-1.16%).

Cocoa prices settled mixed on Thursday as they consolidated recent losses.  On Tuesday, May NY cocoa posted a contract low, and Mar London cocoa posted a new 2.75-year nearest futures low.  Cocoa prices are in the midst of a seven-week-long downtrend, with nearest-futures (H26) NY cocoa posting a 2.75-year nearest-futures low last Friday amid robust global supplies and slack demand.  On January 29, StoneX forecasted a global cocoa surplus of 287,000 MT in the 2025/26 season and a 267,000 MT surplus for 2026/27.  Also, the International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) reported on January 23 that global cocoa stocks rose +4.2% y/y to 1.1 MMT.

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