One of the most predictable clichés in journalism is "if it bleeds, it leads"—the idea that media have a bias for salacious, grisly stories. Like many stereotypes, it's very much based in truth, which might explain why plummeting murder rates nationwide have not managed to capture national attention.
Despite a news cycle that prioritizes doom, the U.S. has seen that decline take hold over the last couple of years, with the murder rate in 2024 not just falling from the 2020 spike but returning to pre-COVID levels. That brings us to the present, and to a question: Could 2025 see the lowest murder rate ever recorded?
It's possible.
