
The midterm election campaigns are in full swing and we know this because there is a ton of new polling coming out every week. If you are a Republican you are enjoying them immensely. If you're a Democrat, not so much.
So far the consensus is that this will be a typical midterm election which means that the party in the White House is likely to lose seats. It's not written in stone, of course. The post-Trump political world remains volatile and world events have a way of changing the predictable electoral trajectory. From the looks of the polling, the country is still in a bad mood. Two years of dealing with the pandemic has taken its toll both socially and economically. Inflation is biting, even with strong wage growth. And for half the country, the assault on democracy engineered by Donald Trump and the Republicans feels like a dangerous threshold has been crossed while the other half thinks the election was stolen from the rightful winner. The culture is raging again at home while we are witnessing yet another horrific war, this time in Europe, and the whole world is holding its breath in the hopes that it ends quickly.