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Barchart
Barchart
Rich Asplund

FORGOTTEN HISTORY: Dollar drops on middle east peace optimism - Caught on Camera

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday fell to a 7-week low and finished down by -0.15%.  The dollar came under pressure Friday in hopes that an end to the war in Iran is near, curbing safe-haven demand for the dollar.  Also, Friday's rally in stocks has reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. In addition, Friday's 11% plunge in WTI crude oil eases inflation expectations, which is dovish for Fed policy and negative for the dollar.

The dollar recovered from its worst level on Friday after San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's comments sparked short covering, signaling she favors keeping Fed policy steady.  She said the oil shock in the US is stronger on the inflation side than on growth, and leaving policy unchanged would still restrain inflation.

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