The dollar index (DXY00) today is down by -0.16%. The dollar gave up an early advance and turned lower today after bond yields declined on a weaker-than-expected US Aug PPI report, which cemented expectations for at least a 25 bp rate cut by the Fed at next week's FOMC meeting. The dollar initially moved higher today on an increase in safe-haven demand from an escalation of geopolitical risks in Europe after Poland shot down Russian drones that had entered its airspace.
Limiting the upside in the dollar are the increased expectations for Fed easing through year-end. The dollar is also being undercut by concerns over Fed independence, which could prompt foreign investors to dump dollar assets as President Trump attempts to fire Fed Governor Cook, and by Stephen Miran's intention to be a Fed Governor while still technically holding his White House job on the Council of Economic Advisors.
