The dollar index (DXY00) is up +0.03% on support from today’s +3.8 bp rise in the 10-year T-note yield, which supported the dollar’s interest rate differentials. However, there was some downward pressure from reduced safe-haven demand on hopes for a near-term US-Iran agreement to end military hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Reports are circulating that a preliminary US-Iran peace agreement could be signed as early as this weekend, ending the military hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and ending the US blockade on Iran and its oil exports. Negotiations would then begin on the more intractable issues, such as sanctions against Iran, the release of $24 billion of frozen Iranian assets, and the resolution of Iranian nuclear issues. However, Iran claimed it would continue to exert control over the Strait of Hormuz even after a new ceasefire agreement.
