
The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday fell by -0.69% and posted a 2.5-month low. The dollar remains under pressure on expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates by -25 bp at Wednesday’s conclusion of the 2-day FOMC meeting. Also, increased expectations for Fed easing through year-end are bearish for the dollar. Losses in the dollar were contained after US retail sales rose more than expected and US manufacturing production unexpectedly increased.
The dollar is also being undercut by concerns over Fed independence, which could prompt foreign investors to dump dollar assets as President Trump attempts to fire Fed Governor Cook, and by Stephen Miran’s intention to be a Fed Governor while still technically holding his White House job on the Council of Economic Advisors.