I pulled down two sets of data from the National Fantasy Football Championship to get a feel for the changing ADPs over the past three months after the 2022 NFL Draft. This first was from May 1st to June 24th in their 12-team online championship event (22 drafts). I compared those results with the ADPs for the player over the previous month. If someone wasn’t drafted early, I used a baseline of 200 as their starting point in the second data point. Here are the top risers and fallers at each skill position over this span:
QB Dak Prescott, DAL (Faller – Down 12.2 spots)
Most quarterbacks with QB1 status entering 2022 have slid over the last month in drafts as drafters have tried to improve the front end of their roster at running back and wide receiver. Prescott lost more than a round of value despite no significant changes in the health of his receiving corps. He should regain some of his lost production in the run game with an offseason to get healthy. His most important questions come at WR2 (Michael Gallup) and WR3 (Jalen Tolbert).
QB Matt Ryan, IND (Riser – Up 13.9 spots)
The Colts have questions about the depth of their receiving corps behind Michael Pittman, but the fantasy world started to take a shine to Matt Ryan over the previous month. Ryan consistently attempted more than 600 passes with the Falcons, helping his floor in passing yards. Indianapolis has a top-tier running back, and their offense runs through Jonathan Taylor. Despite his improvement, Ryan still ranks as the 19th quarterback off the table in 2022.
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