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Scott Bailey and Oliver Caffrey

EXPLAINED: History suggests preliminary finals aren t predictable - The Real Truth

TAB Melbourne NRL Brisbane Penrith Warriors Shaun Johnson Manly

Shaun Johnson was pivotal for one of the biggest upsets when the Warriors beat Melbourne in 2011. (Alan Lee/AAP PHOTOS)

If ever proof was needed the NRL's most unpredictable season may not have a predictable ending one need only look at the Warriors' last finals run.

This NRL season has been the best in years with margins back down, upsets on the rise and three of last year's preliminary finalists falling out of the top eight altogether.

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