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Sarah Shamim

INSANE: How will us pause on intelligence sharing affect ukraine | Rare Historical Photos

Ukraine United States Donald Trump Volodymyr Zelenksyy Joe Biden Marina Miron CIA Starlink Charles Stratford Mike Waltz

Ukrainian servicemen use a grenade launcher during military exercises at a training ground in Dnipropetrovsk region, Ukraine, February 24, 2025 [Valentyn Ogirenko/Reuters]

On February 18, 2022, six days before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, then-United States President Joe Biden said he was “convinced” that Moscow had decided to invade Ukraine. When asked how he knew this, Biden said, “We have a significant intelligence capability.”

At the time, Ukraine’s government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was unsure about Biden’s prognosis, insisting that a full-scale invasion was unlikely.

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