Ohio's highly anticipated Senate race has long been rated a toss-up as incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown and Donald Trump-backed challenger Bernie Moreno ping-ponged a roughly two-point lead over the last six weeks. Recent poll averages still place odds ever so slightly in progressive Brown's favor on the eve of Election Day — driven in large part by Ohio women.
The contentious race has been a statistical dead-heat for weeks, with either candidate's hair-thin lead falling within each poll's margin of error, which is typically around 3%. That hasn't changed at the eleventh hour. The Cook Political Report still rates the Ohio Senate race a "toss-up," while the FiveThirtyEight polling average notches a 1.2-point lead for Brown as of Nov. 3. But as time before the election has narrowed, so too has the gap between former luxury car salesman Moreno and the three-term United States senator, who is relying on GOP ticket splitters to secure a win.
