The latest round of rating changes are a mixed bag for incumbents as a handful of current members are seeing their reelection prospects improving while others are in increasingly difficult fights. Overall, the battle for Congress remains competitive in the shadow of the presidential race. And one senator’s race for governor has hit a bump in the road.
Senate
Republicans are well-positioned to win the Senate. A win in West Virginia in addition to former President Donald Trump winning the White House is enough for GOP control. But victories in West Virginia and Montana, where Republican Tim Sheehy has an advantage over Democratic Sen. Jon Tester, is enough for a GOP majority and makes the presidential outcome less relevant to control of the chamber.