Case in point: In 2019, Michael Thomas went absolutely bananas for the Saints and fantasy fans with nearly 375 fantasy points on a record 149 catches for 1,725 yards and nine touchdowns. As a result, he was the consensus No. 1 wide receiver in fantasy drafts and a surefire first-round pick. The aftermath, though, was not nearly as good.
Thomas went on to average 12 fantasy points a game, down more than 11 points from the previous year, and missed nine games due to injuries. It’s tough to predict a long-term ailment, of course, but Thomas wasn’t nearly as productive even when he played.
The point here is that few folks saw this coming because Thomas was so good in 2019. That leads me to this series, aptly named “The Fantasy Case Against…” where I’ll do my due diligence in looking at players who everyone in fantasy land seems to think is a sure bet to remain uber-productive after finding a high level of success in past seasons.
