
I tend to be averse to making predictions. I'm a reporter, first and foremost, and that means I hate being wrong. But if you want an example of how poorly predictions can age, just remember that not even five years ago, one big consulting firm predicted that Volkswagen would be the world's top electric carmaker by 2025—selling at least 1.4 million EVs globally—with Renault-Mitsubishi-Nissan in second place.