
Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has achieved 15% or more in three approved national polls, bringing him close to meeting CNN's benchmark for qualifying for the upcoming debate alongside Democratic President Joe Biden and presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump on June 27.
However, historical data suggests that third-party candidates often experience a surge in polling support before elections, only to fall short on Election Day. Gallup data from 1980 onwards reveals this trend, indicating that early polling numbers may not accurately predict final election outcomes.