Between redistricting and retirements, North Carolina is set to have at least five new members of Congress next year. Because of how the congressional map is drawn, those new members from the Tar Heel State next year are likely to be Republicans.
Democratic Reps. Kathy Manning, Wiley Nickel and Jeff Jackson all decided not to run for reelection because their districts were redrawn to favor Republicans. The races for all three seats are now rated Likely Republican by Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales. Jackson is on the ballot running for attorney general, while Nickel said he would run for Senate in 2026.
Republican Rep. Dan Bishop is also running for state attorney general, opening up the 8th District. Rep. Patrick T. McHenry, a close ally of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, is also retiring. Republicans should easily hold both seats in November. The races to fill those seats are all rated Solid Republican.
