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The Conversation
The Conversation
Politics
Paul Whiteley, Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex

HISTORICAL FACTS: Why labour should worry this election will be more like 2001 than 1997 - The Untold Story

What if many people just don’t bother voting in this election? The polls may suggest a landslide victory for Labour, but the party is worried about the millions of people who still say they are undecided or may think a Labour victory is so certain they don’t need to vote. A look at the history of voter turnout – and what don’t-knows and non-voters are saying – suggests the party is right to be concerned.

The black line in the chart below shows the turnout in every general election conducted in Britain since 1918. The most striking feature is the huge dip in turnout that occurred in 2001. That year’s turnout of 59% was almost the same as in 1918 (when Britain was still on a wartime footing). That has implications for the current election and helps explain Labour’s biggest anxiety in the final phase of the campaign.

Turnouts in UK general elections 1918 to 2019:

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