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EXPLAINED: 4 - The Real Truth

US lost 105,000 jobs in October and added 64,000 in November, according to delayed data

Data shows the headline unemployment rate continued to climb and hit 4.6%, a four-year high, last month

The Guardian - US

Bond Vigilantes Ignore $38 Trillion U.S. Debt — And Target Japan Instead

For years, analysts have warned that rising deficits would eventually provoke a bond-market backlash. Yet the revolt, seen as a feature in the 1980s and 1990s, has failed to materialize in any substantial form.

Benzinga

The Guardian view on OBR v the Treasury: ministers have embraced the theatre of errors

Editorial: The government is trapped between Labour’s instincts and bond traders’ demands. Sensible fixes exist, but require imagination ministers have yet shown

The Guardian - UK

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UK factory sector grows for first time in a year despite budget uncertainty; Airbus shares slide amid A320 problems – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news

The Guardian - UK

There are those on the left and right who offer only grievance: Labour is getting on with the job of economic renewal

Judge last week’s budget in the light of our bold plans to sweep away red tape, tackle inactivity among young people and pursue a closer trading relationship with the EU, says prime minister Keir Starmer

The Guardian - UK

Slight rise tipped for September GDP figures

Economic growth and household spending data will be released to form the final picture for the Reserve Bank before its last meeting for 2025.

AAP

Budget ‘papers over cracks’, say economists as UK growth forecasts downgraded

The Office for Budget Responsibility also pointed to a worsening short-term picture for inflation and unemployment.

Evening Standard

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US Commerce Department Pushes Q3 GDP Estimate To Just Before Christmas, Stirring Political Jabs

The U.S. Department of Commerce has delayed the release of the initial third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) estimate to just before Christmas, as federal agencies race to clear a backlog of critical economic reports created by the recent government shutdown.

Benzinga

Reeves must prove she has a rock-solid plan to free us from this ‘growth crisis’

THE INDEPENDENT VIEW: Editorial: The chancellor’s second Budget has been overshadowed by bleak forecasts, but while the OBR’s downgrade exposes the fragility of Labour’s economic promises and the limits of government spin, she must still deliver

The Independent UK

UK politics: Risk of Maccabi Tel Aviv facing antisemitic attacks not ‘predominant’ reason for match ban, police tell MPs – as it happened

West Midlands police’s assistant chief constable says threat of violence by Maccabi fans was more important consideration

The Guardian - UK

PM says leaders should ‘stick to their word’ but fails to reaffirm tax pledge

The Prime Minister repeatedly declined to rule out hitting working people with extra tax in the Budget.

Evening Standard

The Delayed September Jobs Report Is Out. Here's What It Means for the Fed

The September jobs report came in much higher than expected, lowering expectations for a December rate cut.

Kiplinger

Long-Awaited September Jobs Report Set For Release As Hiring Slows

Economists expect employment to have risen by around 50,000 jobs in September, a modest improvement compared with the mere 22,000 jobs added in August, but still far below the 2024 average monthly gain of roughly 168,000 jobs.

International Business Times

The days of 4% pay rises are behind us – wages are now barely growing faster than inflation

The recovery of real wages is expected to be so slow that it will take us until 2044 to get back to having as much purchasing power as in 2021

The Guardian - AU

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The Independent UK

UK inflation drops to four-month low in pre-Budget boost for Rachel Reeves

Household services contributed the biggest decline towards overall falling inflation

AAP

Rate cut hopes evaporate with healthy jobs figures

Shares have plunged and the Aussie dollar has soared after surprisingly robust jobs figures showed the economy is running near capacity.

The Independent UK

Shutdown to leave mark on US economy from lost paychecks, canceled flights

The longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history appears to be nearing an end, but not without leaving a mark on an already-struggling economy

The Guardian - UK

Tax rises and drop in investment predicted to limit UK growth

EY Item Club downgrades forecast for next year, with Office for Budget Responsibility expected to follow suit

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Evening Standard

Pound tumbles as markets take fright over Rachel Reeves' Budget woes with UK productivity downgrade

Sterling dropped to a two-and-a-half-year low against the euro before regaining some ground

The Independent UK

Rachel Reeves has only one option to grow the economy

THE INDEPENDENT VIEW: Editorial: With a £20bn Budget black hole to plug, the chancellor has no option but to break Labour’s manifesto pledge – tinkering in the margins will hurt growth, while slashing public spending will lead to electoral ruin

Kiplinger

The Economy on a Knife's Edge

GDP is growing, but employers have all but stopped hiring as they watch how the trade war plays out.

Benzinga

Shutdown Blurs Jobs Data—But These Reports Back Other Fed Cuts

With the U.S. government shutdown still clouding official labor statistics, alternative data from private firms and banks is sending a clear message: the labor market is cooling, and markets are betting big that the Federal Reserve will respond with another rate cut at its Oct. 30 meeting.

Benzinga

Shutdown Blocks Jobs Data: Will The Fed Cut Rates In The Dark?

Interpreting economic data is challenging on a good day—harder still when crucial reports go missing.

International Business Times

US Delays Key Jobs Report Due To Government Shutdown

The United States suspended the publication of a key employment report Friday as a partial government shutdown entered its third day, casting a fog over the health of the world's biggest economy.

AAP

Spending rebound staggers as Aussies kick booze, smokes

Strong growth in household spending earlier this year is unlikely to be matched, which could ease Reserve Bank fears of a return of inflation pressures.

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