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DARK SECRETS: 6 - The Real Truth

'October’s pace of job cutting was much higher than average': Definitive layoff report reveals 'DOGE impact' on labor market

Andy Challenger says “Those laid off now are finding it harder to quickly secure new roles, which could further loosen the labor market.”

Fortune

Wall Street can’t decide whether the job market is showing a ‘rebound’ or declining to ‘stall speed’

U.S. futures are flat this morning as traders try to figure out whether new jobs data makes a Fed rate cut in December more or less likely.

Fortune

Stocks Rise Before the Open as Bond Yields Fall on Fed Rate-Cut Bets

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ25) are up +0.16%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ25) are up +0.20% this morning, pointing to a higher open on Wall Street as Treasury yields fell amid growing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December.

Barchart

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Stocks Rally on Positive US Economic News and Strength in Chipmakers

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Wednesday closed up +0.37%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.48%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.72%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) rose +0.36%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Stocks Rebound on Economic Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.42%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.12%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.41%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are up +0.39%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Stock Indices Recover Following Sharp Sell-Off on Tuesday

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.39%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.17%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.58%. Some weaker-than-expected earnings are weighing on technology stocks. Super Micro Computer is down more...

Barchart

Hiring Rebounds, But It's Still Too Weak To Derail A December Fed Cut

Private-sector data for October payrolls revealed that U.S. businesses saw a rebound in employment numbers after two months of job losses, but the scale of the recovery remains modest and far from signaling a strong labor resurgence.

Benzinga

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Top 3 Industrials Stocks That Could Blast Off In Q4

The most oversold stocks in the industrials sector presents an opportunity to buy into undervalued companies.

Benzinga

Nasdaq Futures Slip on Weak Tech Earnings and Valuation Concerns, U.S. ADP Jobs Report in Focus

December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ25) are trending down -0.57% this morning as investors digested weak earnings from notable tech players such as Advanced Micro Devices and Super Micro Computer, while concerns over lofty tech valuations continued to weigh on sentiment.

Barchart

For now, data ignorance is bliss on Wall Street as investors warned not to rely too heavily on private surveys

"The danger with this data is that its message will be given unwarranted credibility by the absence of proper economic data," said UBS's chief economist, Paul Donovan.

Fortune

Earnings, Manufacturing Data and Other Can't Miss Items this Week

Markets enter November following a strong finish to October, with U.S. stocks closing higher on Friday as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all posted gains driven by impressive tech earnings and optimism around potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Barchart

Fed struggles to assess state of US economy as government shutdown shuts off key data

When it comes to setting monetary policy for the world’s largest economy, what data drives decision-making?

The Conversation

ADP Q1 Preview: Sustained Revenue Growth, Improved Bookings Momentum

Automatic Data Processing Inc (NASDAQ:ADP) is likely to have sustained the previous quarter's 7.5% year-on-year revenue growth, while its booking momentum could have improved, according to RBC Capital Markets.

Benzinga

Former BLS chief warns Powell is “flying blind” at a pivotal time for the Fed

A once-obscure data-sharing deal between ADP and the Fed helped shape monetary policy for years—until it abruptly vanished.

Fortune

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Axios

The real trouble with the Fed's jobs data turmoil

There's no replacement for the government's might in collecting data from all corners of the economy.

Barchart

What to Expect From Automatic Data Processing's Next Quarterly Earnings Report

Automatic Data Processing is gearing up to announce its first-quarter results by the end of this month, and analysts expect mid-single-digit growth in earnings.

Reason

The Economy Doesn't Need Federal Jobs Data To Function

There are plenty of private alternatives to the employment report put out by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Benzinga

Moody's Chief Economist Says Not Having BLS Data Is 'A Serious Problem,' But Cites Private Data To Warn That Job Market Is 'Sputtering'

Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi declared the U.S. job market is “weak and getting weaker,” delivering his warning after piecing together an analysis from private-sector data.

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Fortune

America saw 'essentially no job growth' last month, warns Moody's, and any roles added were in three wealthy states

Moody’s warns U.S. job growth has stalled as the shutdown halts official labor data, forcing Wall Street and the Fed to rely on patchy private reports.

Fortune

The job market is weak and getting weaker, top economist says, while Trump looks to the future

“Our big year won’t be really next year—it’ll be the year after,” Trump told reporters recently.

Saving Advice

Stocks Soar, Jobs Drop, Tariffs Feed Inflation: Is It The October Effect?

October 2025 is kicking off with a confusing mix of economic signals. Wall Street is rallying, and some analysts are betting on more interest rate...

Axios

Hiring data suggests an unusual economic dynamic at play

In the absence of a jobs report, the ADP report was this week's headliner.

The Guardian - US

US ‘flying blind’ at critical moment for economy, experts warn, with no jobs data amid shutdown

Data was collected for closely-watched jobs report before shutdown, but Trump officials so far defy calls to publish it

The Conversation

US economy is already on the edge – a prolonged government shutdown could send it tumbling over

The economic consequences of the current federal government shutdown hinge critically on how long it lasts. If it is resolved quickly, the costs will be small, but if it drags on, it could send the U.S. economy into a tailspin.

Fortune

CFOs must focus on agility in scenario planning amid government shutdown, says economist

Planning for resilience has become a strategy for survival.

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