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Axis fails once again. This time in Bihar

The trends have solidified and they’ve blown past what almost every exit pollster dared to predict in Bihar. The NDA is cruising to an easy majority, tracking 201 seats at the time of writing this report. The Mahagathbandhan is marooned at 36. Exit polls broadly called an NDA win, but…

Newslaundry

Axis predicts NDA lead, but fewer seats for BJP this time

A day after several exit polls projected a clear victory for the NDA in Bihar, two of the most-watched pollsters – Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya – have both estimated a nearly similar trend.

Newslaundry

Exit polls predict clear majority for NDA. Can they be correct this time?

Although two major pollsters – Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya – are scheduled to post the results of their exit polls tomorrow, the others have predicted an overwhelming majority for the governing NDA.

Newslaundry

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Delhi exit polls: Axis My India, Today’s Chanakya join the chorus to predict BJP comeback

A day after at least seven exit polls predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party would cross the majority mark in the Delhi assembly with a comfortable margin, three more pollsters gave the saffron party a clear victory on Thursday.

Newslaundry

Most exit polls predict Mahayuti win ‘with a pinch of salt’, tight race in Jharkhand

Soon after voting concluded for the Maharashtra and Jharkhand assembly polls, the predictions were out, some with caution after the Haryana and Lok Sabha debacles.

Newslaundry

Exit polls lose again: BJP hat-trick in Haryana, NC-Cong win J&K

The exit polls were wildly off the mark once again.

Newslaundry

‘Silence of Dalits’, ‘unreliable’ answers: Why pollsters thought they got it wrong

Some exit polls hit the bull’s eye. Others get the results partly right. But today was neither of them.

Newslaundry

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Exit polls: Modi to return with historic mandate, 3 say BJP largest party in Bengal

If exit polls are to be believed, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set for a historic third term with a landslide mandate. The National Democratic Alliance, led by the BJP, is expected to make inroads into the south, and win big in Odisha, and West Bengal in the 2024 Lok…

Newslaundry

Except Telangana silver lining, exit polls miss the mark again

The assembly election results in five states have sprung a surprise for most pollsters. While the BJP got a comfortable majority in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan, the Congress managed to win only Telangana and the Zoram People’s Movement stormed to power in Mizoram.

Newslaundry

Why Axis My India exit poll underestimated the BJP in Delhi, Gujarat

There’s something for everyone in Indian politics this week. The Aam Aadmi Party has won the Delhi municipal elections; the Bharatiya Janata Party has bagged Gujarat; and the Congress will be back in power in Himachal Pradesh.

Newslaundry

Assembly elections 2022: No exit poll heroes, but some quality cameos

The season’s feasting on election coverage is finally over. The Aam Aadmi Party won a historic mandate in Punjab and the Bharatiya Janata Party kept Manipur, Uttar Pradesh, Goa and Uttarakhand in its kitty. Pollsters, who spent a fortune on surveys, sampling and mathematical modelling, partnered with news channels and…

Newslaundry

BJP’s ace in the poll: The unpredictable results of exit poll predictions

Exit polls are like a spicy curry that everyone likes but only a handful can digest. Journalists tend to have contempt for them and politicians only like those that go in their favour. But both these groups keep an eye out for the numbers.

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