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Axis fails once again. This time in Bihar

The trends have solidified and they’ve blown past what almost every exit pollster dared to predict in Bihar. The NDA is cruising to an easy majority, tracking 201 seats at the time of writing this report. The Mahagathbandhan is marooned at 36. Exit polls broadly called an NDA win, but…

Newslaundry

Except Telangana silver lining, exit polls miss the mark again

The assembly election results in five states have sprung a surprise for most pollsters. While the BJP got a comfortable majority in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan, the Congress managed to win only Telangana and the Zoram People’s Movement stormed to power in Mizoram.

Newslaundry

Modi's popularity key to selling cut in food aid ahead of Indian elections

(Corrects paragraphs 2 and 4 to show extra handouts were monthly)

Reuters

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Why Axis My India exit poll underestimated the BJP in Delhi, Gujarat

There’s something for everyone in Indian politics this week. The Aam Aadmi Party has won the Delhi municipal elections; the Bharatiya Janata Party has bagged Gujarat; and the Congress will be back in power in Himachal Pradesh.

Newslaundry

Assembly elections 2022: No exit poll heroes, but some quality cameos

The season’s feasting on election coverage is finally over. The Aam Aadmi Party won a historic mandate in Punjab and the Bharatiya Janata Party kept Manipur, Uttar Pradesh, Goa and Uttarakhand in its kitty. Pollsters, who spent a fortune on surveys, sampling and mathematical modelling, partnered with news channels and…

Newslaundry

BJP’s ace in the poll: The unpredictable results of exit poll predictions

Exit polls are like a spicy curry that everyone likes but only a handful can digest. Journalists tend to have contempt for them and politicians only like those that go in their favour. But both these groups keep an eye out for the numbers.

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