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EXPLAINED: 2 | Vintage Vibes

Special poll has Labor barely winning majority as One Nation continues to gain

A special Redbridge poll that was mostly taken before the federal budget had Labor winning 76 of the 150 House of Representatives seats (a majority of one), with One Nation on 53 and the Coalition 12.

The Conversation

Paul Keating urges Labor to stick with capital gains tax overhaul and avoid exemptions that would hurt economy

Exclusive: Former PM says changes to tax rates are ‘so marginal that no entrepreneurial initiative is likely to be thwarted’

The Guardian - AU

Politics with Michelle Grattan: Keith Wolahan on when Liberals should preference One Nation

The Liberal Party is now “fighting for its existence”, according to one of its own former federal MPs.

The Conversation

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Albanese forges ahead with CGT and negative gearing plan while flagging possible business carve-outs

Labor’s pre-election promise of a $1,000 standard tax deduction and $250 ‘working Australians tax offset’ will be included in the draft laws

The Guardian - AU

Angus Taylor’s claim support is a ‘privilege of citizenship’ leaves Deepa and others with an impossible choice

Opposition leader’s view that only Australians should get access to welfare leaves some facing the prospect of giving up their homeland citizenship

The Guardian - AU

Trouble in the ‘kingdom of Maranoa’: could a Nationals stronghold turn to One Nation?

Some in rural Queensland are fed up with the status quo, but not everyone’s convinced by Pauline Hanson

The Guardian - AU

As Labor struggles with budget backwash, One Nation surfs a wave

Budget 'losers' can cause a lot of grief.

The Canberra Times

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Morning Mail: One Nation’s growing pains; Israel deports Gaza flotilla activists; Kosciuszko feral horses surge

Pauline Hanson’s party is being forced to dissolve and reconstitute new local branches

The Guardian - AU

The Coalition has dubbed the trust changes in Labor’s budget a ‘death tax’. Experts say that’s wrong

The opposition has dusted off an infamous scare campaign. So what exactly is changing?

The Guardian - AU

Grattan on Friday: As Labor struggles with budget backwash, One Nation surfs a wave

One way the Albanese government has recently tapped into social media audiences for its budgets is by inviting “influencers” to Canberra for the event. This broadens the audience and often garners favourable publicity.

The Conversation

‘Marginal change’: Keating lashes Coalition, John Howard and startup sector over CGT claims

Former Labor prime minister says the wealthy have been beneficiaries of tax system ‘distortion’ for decades

The Guardian - AU

Further post-budget polls have Labor down, but retaining a clear lead

One Nation has gained one to three points in all five federal post-budget polls. The YouGov and Morgan polls agree with the Resolve poll in having Labor down, but retaining a clear lead.

The Conversation

Explainer: budget tax changes alienated Gen Z and Baby Boomer voters

The budget fallout has drawn new, clear battle lines.

The Canberra Times

Returning to the centre may be the only way the walking dead Liberals can rise again

After the weekend defections to One Nation, and with more possibly to come, the task for remaining party loyalists is to regroup and reorient

The Guardian - AU

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The Conversation

One Nation gains in polls as budget is poorly received in Newspoll

In three credible post-budget polls, One Nation is up one to three points, with their victory at the May 9 Farrer byelection probably also contributing. Labor took a hit in Freshwater and Resolve, but not Newspoll.

The Guardian - AU

Big tobacco is exploiting fears of the illicit market to unwind health gains, experts warn

Cigarettes kill 66 Australians every day, health groups say, criticising MPs who heard evidence from Philip Morris in secret

The Guardian - AU

Jim Chalmers wants to make Australia more fair – but is it enough to stave off the threat from One Nation?

Labor’s bid to tackle intergenerational equity and woo disenfranchised voters won’t land unless it’s the start of long-term action

The Guardian - AU

‘A watchdog without resources is not a watchdog’: Labor accused of letting key accountability body languish

Criticism of budget funding comes amid warnings the Australian National Audit Office will struggle to meet its targets for independent reviews

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The Guardian - AU

Getting down in the mud with Pauline Hanson won’t help Angus Taylor – but principled policy could

The Coalition should seek differentiation from One Nation with policies like the indexation proposal rather than the crass convenience of grievance politics

The Guardian - AU

Angus Taylor says migrants are a ‘net drain’ on Australia. The numbers say the opposite is true

Migrants are generally younger than the average Australian, are skilled and more educated. And they typically pay more tax than they receive in benefits

The Guardian - AU

‘We are not in Trump’s America’: migrant groups say Angus Taylor in race to bottom with far right

Refugee advocacy group warns migrants ‘should not be used as scapegoats’ as prime minister claims Coalition imitating One Nation policies

The Guardian - AU

Angus Taylor’s tough talk on migration puts politics over policy and risks feeding damaging stereotypes

If the opposition leader is serious about fixing the migration system, he should start by creating clearer pathways for people already contributing or stuck in limbo indefinitely

The Conversation

Trump’s ratings slide further, but gerrymanders will help Republicans at midterm elections

US President Donald Trump’s ratings have slid further to a new record low. But two recent court decisions will assist Republicans in using gerrymandering to avoid losing their majority in the House of Representatives.

The Conversation

Grattan on Friday: Taylor’s bold budget reply is a mix of sound and dubious policy commitments

Angus Taylor might have reckoned he and the opposition are in such deep doo-doo that he might as well throw everything at Thursday night’s budget reply.

The Conversation

Angus Taylor promises to index income tax to inflation in big tax gamble

Opposition Leader Angus Taylor has committed a Coalition government to phase in income tax indexation under a “tax back guarantee” that he says “will fully protect all taxpayers from inflation”.

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