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One Nation surges in two polls taken after Secret Harbour byelection

The federal YouGov and Morgan polls are the first that were entirely taken after One Nation thumped Labor at the August 29 Western Australian state Secret Harbour byelection.

The Conversation

Volatile electorate delivers mixed results for all parties in latest polls

In the two latest new federal polls, Morgan was good for Labor but Essential was bad. There were four federal polls taken last week, largely before the Western Australian Secret Harbour byelection.

The Conversation

One Nation thumps Labor to gain WA state seat of Secret Harbour at byelection

With nearly all votes counted in Saturday’s Western Australian state byelection for Secret Harbour, the ABC’s results give One Nation 39.1% of the primary vote (up a huge 30.6% since the March 2025 state election), Labor 24.4% (down 22.1%), the Liberals 17.3% (down 7.1%), the Greens 7.5% (down 1.3%), Legalise…

The Conversation

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Mixed results for One Nation and the Coalition in latest federal polls

There have been mixed messages emerging from the three federal polls released this week. In the DemosAU poll, the Coalition was up four points on the primary vote to 25% and One Nation was down five points to 24%.

The Conversation

Victorian polls have Coalition leading Labor by narrow to large margins

It’s about three months until the Victorian state election on November 28. Five polls have been released since Ben Carroll replaced Jacinta Allan as Labor leader and premier on July 28. These polls have the Coalition leading Labor after preferences by between 51–49 (Morgan SMS) and 57–43 (Redbridge).

The Conversation

Resolve poll suggests more voters support Labor’s federal budget changes than oppose them

The three new federal polls have the total vote for One Nation and the Coalition at 46% in YouGov (down one), 48% in Morgan (up 0.5) and 49% in Resolve (steady). The Resolve poll gives Labor encouragement by suggesting their May budget changes are becoming more popular.

The Conversation

Cathy Freeman leads trio of women at top of list of Australia’s most admired sportspeople

Cathy Freeman, Ash Barty and Sam Kerr have been identified as the sporting figures admired most by Australians according to a new poll

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The One Nation scare Labor used while rolling a premier

Labor leaders have pointed to a potential minority government involving a right-wing populist party to justify swapping premiers four months from polling day.

AAP

Special DemosAU poll has Labor well short of a parliamentary majority

A special DemosAU poll has Labor winning 68 of the 150 House of Representatives seats, well short of the 76 needed for a majority. One Nation is on 60 seats, the Coalition 13, the Greens three and Others six.

The Conversation

One Nation would threaten Liberals in an ACT election: new poll

Libs face fresh challenge while Barr is ACT's most divisive politician.

The Canberra Times

Mixed bag for One Nation in latest polls as voters show wariness around some policies

The three new federal polls show mixed results – but some good news – for One Nation following a polling slump in response to Pauline Hanson’s June 17 National Press Club address. This is particularly marked in Morgan, where One Nation gained 5.5 points to 28% after dropping nine points…

The Conversation

One Nation’s rise puts the next election in ‘unknown territory’ – but does Pauline Hanson really have a path to government?

Data shows the rightwing party faces an obstacle in the form of urban seats – and the effect of preference flows is harder to predict

The Guardian - AU

Two new polls show drop in support for One Nation and the Coalition

In two new polls taken in the week after Pauline Hanson’s June 17 National Press Club address, support for One Nation and the Coalition combined is down three points to 46% in Newspoll and four points to 47% in Redbridge.

The Conversation

One Nation’s surge continues in polls as Andy Burnham set to become next UK PM

In two federal polls that were partly taken after Pauline Hanson’s June 17 National Press Club address, One Nation’s surge continued, gaining two points on primary votes in both the DemosAU and Morgan polls, to reach 30% and 31.5% respectively.

The Conversation

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The Conversation

Latest polls still have One Nation leading on primary votes, but not gaining

Since the May 12 federal budget, every poll has had One Nation gaining when measured against the last issue of that poll. While they’re still leading on primary votes in the YouGov and Morgan polls, One Nation was down one point in YouGov and steady in Morgan.

The Conversation

Two polls have Labor third on primary votes, five months out from the Victorian election

With the Victorian state election in late November, two polls have Labor sinking to third on primary votes, behind One Nation and the Coalition. Labor Premier Jacinta Allan’s net approval is below -35 in both polls.

The Conversation

One Nation takes primary vote lead in Newspoll as Albanese’s ratings slump to record low

Newspoll corroborates two polls I reported last week that had One Nation first on primary votes, although only by one point in Newspoll instead of three points in the YouGov and Redbridge polls.

The Conversation

Special poll has Labor barely winning majority as One Nation continues to gain

A special Redbridge poll that was mostly taken before the federal budget had Labor winning 76 of the 150 House of Representatives seats (a majority of one), with One Nation on 53 and the Coalition 12.

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AAP

FED:One Nation's polling could herald messy hung parliament

One Nation has eclipsed Labor in opinion polling for the first time, with political analysts suggesting Australia could be headed for future hung parliaments.

AAP

One Nation's polling could herald messy hung parliament

One Nation has eclipsed Labor in opinion polling for the first time, with political analysts suggesting Australia could be headed for future hung parliaments.

The Conversation

One Nation’s rise turns around as Newspoll and Resolve both have Labor well ahead

Has One Nation reached its polling peak? That’s the intriguing question from the latest batch of polls.

The Conversation

DemosAU gives Labor one of its worst poll results this term

A DemosAU poll has Labor down three points on primary votes since February to just 26%, with Labor and One Nation now tied. The total vote for the Coalition and One Nation was steady at 49% while the total for Labor and the Greens was down two points to 39%.

The Conversation

Labor’s slide continues in federal polls, as special DemosAU poll has Coalition winning just nine seats

Labor is still ahead, but the latest federal polls suggest a move against them. A DemosAU MRP poll has One Nation winning 52 of the 150 House seats and the Coalition just nine. A Victorian poll has the Coalition gaining a 52–48 lead over Labor.

AAP

One Nation forecast to become federal opposition: poll

A new poll has shown the coalition slipping to as low as nine seats in federal parliament as One Nation surges in support among voters.

The Conversation

Labor set for landslide in final South Australian polls with One Nation ahead of Liberals

The South Australian state election is Saturday, with polls closing at 6:30pm AEDT. The 47 lower house seats will be elected in single-member electorates using preferential voting.

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