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INSANE: 3 - The Real Truth

The Senate has confirmed President Trump's nominee, and though he can't cut rates all by himself, there are three things Kevin Warsh can do to change the Fed.

Kiplinger

Interest on U.S. debt is becoming a top driver of future deficits, as the sheer size of past borrowing overwhelms the fiscal outlook

"In a 'Fiscal Dominance' regime, the Fed's ability to aggressively hike rates to curb inflation is constrained, as doing so risks a fiscal or financial crisis."

Fortune

Deutsche Bank Sees Gold Prices Hitting $8K in 5 Years; World Bank Expects Prices to Average $4,700 in 2026

Deutsche Bank forecasts a significant rise in gold prices as central banks increasingly prefer gold over the US dollar as confidence in US assets continues to falter.

International Business Times UK

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Deutsche Bank, Santander and UBS profits rise amid market impact from Iran war

Three of Europe’s biggest banks delivered record or above-forecast profits on Wednesday. TotalEnergies posted strong earnings, while Mercedes-Benz turned more cautious as collapsing China sales and geopolitical uncertainty weighed on the outlook.

Euronews

Ark Invest Is Buying the Dip in CoreWeave Stock. Should You?

Ark Invest is loading up on CRWV stock, betting that its hyper‑growth AI cloud business, Nvidia partnership, and huge revenue backlog will ultimately outweigh today’s deep losses and heavy leverage.

Barchart

2 years ago, Saudi Arabia quietly canceled the ‘petrodollar’ deal with America that wired the world economy for 50 years. Then war broke out in Iran

China’s “petroyuan” system is a player in a way that it wasn’t before.

Fortune

Deutsche Bank asked AI if it’s true that AI will solve the economy’s inflation problems. The robots answered

The answer from the machines was unfortunately not what Wall Street wanted to hear.

Fortune

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Dollar dominance is reinforced by the global oil trade, but the Iran war could give rise to the 'petroyuan' as U.S. security shield weakens

"The world saves in dollars in large part because it pays in dollars," Deutsche Bank said.

Fortune

Wall Street got so fed up with Trump’s chaos, they built an index to predict when he’ll ‘TACO’

Markets aren’t buying it anymore

We Got This Covered

Inflation expected to remain at 3% before Middle East conflict sparks jump

Analysts are expecting CPI to have held relatively steady in February, or dipped slightly, from the 3% level recorded in January.

Evening Standard

Energy price shock and interest rate rises could cause ‘pronounced’ UK recession, economist warns – as it happened

Morgan Stanley warns that UK could fall into a recession at the turn of the year, if energy prices remain high and Bank of England hikes interest rates

The Guardian - UK

UK inflation steady but experts warn of cost-of-living ‘twist’ in months ahead

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation for last month will be published on Wednesday

The Independent UK

UK inflation steady pre-Iran war but cost-of-living ‘hump’ on horizon

The rate of Consumer Prices Index inflation has been gradually easing back towards the Bank of England’s 2% target level since last summer.

Evening Standard

This week is Jerome Powell's penultimate meeting as chairman of the Fed—don't expect him to drop Wall Street many hints

"Only expect minor statement tweaks, including smoothed language on recent labour data," noted Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid.

Fortune

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Fortune

Recession and stagflation risks are rising due to Iran conflict, as economist warns it’s ‘getting harder to argue disruption will be temporary’

"Clearly, the longer that oil remains at these levels, expectations of a sustained shock will only grow," Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said.

Barchart

Dear Raytheon Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for March 6

White House meeting on Mar. 6 to address shrinking U.S. munitions stockpiles amid the Iran conflict could put RTX Corporation in the spotlight.

Fortune

A shiny new Fed chair will be keen to make an entrance with a base rate cut—yet the committee is only growing more hawkish due to Iran

“Clearly there’s growing skepticism that a new chair can start cutting straight away, particularly with the data as strong as it is right now,” noted Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid.

International Business Times

Epstein Estate Agrees To $35 Million Settlement With Victims

The estate of late sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein has agreed to pay up to $35 million to resolve a long-running class action lawsuit brought by survivors.

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news in one place.

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Fortune

Deutsche Bank asked AI how it was planning to destroy jobs. And the robot answered

It’s like looking into a crystal ball, or being told by your predator exactly how you’ll be consumed.

Fortune

Friday the 13th brings global selloff in stocks and gold as AI fear grips markets

But analysts on Wall Street this morning are suggesting that the selloff may be overdone.

Fortune

Powell's parting gift from the Fed may be more rate cuts than expected, courtesy of greying data

Recent "releases helped to validate the dovish arguments pushing for more rate cuts this year," Deutsche Bank's Henry Allen noted.

Fortune

Don’t get comfortable with the global stock rally today: Goldman’s ‘Panic Index’ is approaching ’max fear’

Every time stocks take a dip in reaction to bad news, a relentless wave of buy-the-dippers has stepped up to send them back upward again.

Fortune

Software selloff giving you déjà vu? We’ve been here before, says Deutsche Bank, when the dotcom bubble began to burst

“Interestingly, that pattern echoes what we saw in 2000 as the dotcom bubble started to burst,” Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen wrote. “Equities started to fall from March 2000 as tech stocks saw significant declines.”

The Guardian - AU

Most experts think the RBA will hike the cash rate. Here’s why that may not be a good idea

There are factors beside inflation that the board needs to consider, most notably the labour market

Fortune

‘FOMO’ trade finally loses steam as gold and silver sink on Warsh nomination

“Price action had long since detached from any sane discussion on debasement, but it often takes only a small ripple to trigger a broader correction,” noted Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid.

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