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DARK SECRETS: 2 | Vintage Vibes

County cricket: title race hots up while Leicestershire charged by ECB – as it happened

Somerset, Warwickshire and Nottinghamshire had good days as the leading Division One contenders push for glory

The Guardian - UK

European shares subdued as surging crude sharpens focus on ECB rate path

European shares closed largely flat as higher oil prices and renewed US-Iran tensions raised inflation concerns, offsetting stronger euro zone economic data. Energy stocks gained, while Novartis fell after its cholesterol drug failed a key study. Investors also raised bets on further ECB rate hikes, including a possible December move.

The Economic Times

ECB rate decision: Five key questions for markets as energy prices fuel inflation fears

The European Central Bank is widely expected to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.5% on Thursday as surging energy prices push eurozone inflation above 3%. While the September hike is largely priced in, markets will focus on the ECB’s guidance on further rate increases, updated inflation…

The Economic Times

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Global Market: Deutsche Bank sees ECB rates rising to 2.75% as energy risks persist

Deutsche Bank has raised its peak ECB interest rate projection to 2.75%, forecasting additional 25 basis point hikes in September and December. Persistent energy risks and geopolitical tensions are driving the shift, as economic resilience and elevated inflation keep borrowing costs in the euro zone higher for longer.

The Economic Times

Global Market: European stocks subdued as oil surge fuels inflation, ECB rate hike bets

European shares were subdued on Monday as rising oil prices sparked by US-Iran tensions renewed inflation fears. Investors are closely monitoring the European Central Bank's upcoming interest rate decision, while a sharp decline in Novartis stock and German political uncertainty following regional elections further weighed on overall market sentiment.

The Economic Times

'Chuck it in the fire.' A leading candidate in France's presidential race has a simple solution to its massive national debt: just cancel it

“Why did we make a single currency and an ECB together? We can do it and I bet we’d find allies in Europe.”

Fortune

Could an EU custodian break the long deadlock on the Russian assets?

The debate on Russian money held in Belgium has returned. Could an EU custodian convince Belgium and break the political deadlock?

Euronews

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Global Market: German bond yields set for fourth weekly rise as investors bet on further ECB tightening

German bond yields are rising for the fourth consecutive week as investors anticipate the European Central Bank will maintain restrictive monetary policy to combat inflation. Simultaneously, oil prices are climbing amid US-Iran tensions, heightening concerns over persistent inflation.

The Economic Times

US Market: J.P. Morgan, BNP Paribas expect ECB rate hike in December as inflation risks persist

J.P. Morgan and BNP Paribas now expect the European Central Bank to deliver another 25-basis-point rate hike in December, reversing their earlier calls for the tightening cycle to end without a December increase. Persistent inflation risks, elevated energy prices and resilient economic growth are driving the shift, while markets are…

The Economic Times

Banks rush to swap higher-risk credit assets for Bank of England cash

British banks are stepping up their game by putting forth more higher-risk assets as collateral at the Bank of England. This action marks a notable increase in the use of top-risk collateral, reaching levels not seen since March 2020. Unlike the European Central Bank, the central bank is willing to…

The Economic Times

Dollar Erases Early Gains as Crude Oil and T-note Yields Move Lower

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell from a 2.5-week high today and is down by -0.11%. The dollar gave up an overnight advance and turned lower today when WTI crude oil dropped from a 6-week high and moved lower, which eased inflation expectations, a dovish factor for Fed policy. The...

Barchart

Taxing the banks: what Europe’s windfall levies brought in as Burnham eyes his next move

Ahead of a crucial budget, four countries’ experiments offer a mixed verdict on how to tax bumper profits

The Guardian - UK

Europe jolted by the Kremlin’s ‘hybrid’ escalation

Hello from Brussels. I’m Mared Gwyn. Today, we bring you an exclusive sit-down interview with the EU’s trade chief on his quest to rein in the EU’s ballooning trade deficit with Beijing. But we start with the escalating tensions between Europe and Moscow.

Euronews

ECB rate hike looms as energy shock pushes inflation to 3.3%

With eurozone inflation at 3.3% and energy costs surging, markets are pricing in another ECB rate rise on 10 September. ECB economists say this energy-driven episode looks nothing like the demand-fuelled surge of 2021-22.

Euronews

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Barchart

Stocks Settle Lower as Bond Yields Surge

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) closed down by -0.71% on Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down by -0.79%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down by -1.29%. E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) fell -0.71%, and September E-mini...

Barchart

Dollar Firms on Rising T-Note Yields and Crude Prices

The dollar index (DXY00 ) rose by +0.27% on Tuesday. Soaring T-note yields on Tuesday strengthened the dollar’s interest rate differentials and pushed the dollar higher. Also, Tuesday’s +5% surge in WTI crude oil to a 6-week high raised inflation expectations, which could potentially persuade the Fed to raise interest...

Barchart

Global Bond Selloff Weighs on Stocks

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is down by -0.44% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down by -0.34%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down by -0.96%. E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are down -0.46%, and September E-mini...

The Guardian - UK

Michael Hussey rejects England Test role to sign part-time deal with Australia

Stephen Fleming is still seeking a Test batting coach after Michael Hussey rejected the offer, while Misbah-ul-Haq has quit Pakistan’s selection committee

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Barchart

Dollar Supported by Rising T-Note Yields and Falling Stocks

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is up by +0.12% today. Soaring T-note yields today have strengthened the dollar’s interest rate differentials and are pushing the dollar higher. Also, today’s +2% rally in WTI crude oil to a 6-week high is raising inflation expectations and could potentially persuade the Fed to...

Barchart

Stocks Retreat as Global Bond Yields Surge

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is down by -0.66% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down by -0.43%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down by -1.30%. E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are down -0.66%, and September E-mini...

Euronews

European government bond yields surge to 15-year highs as sell-off deepens

A global bond sell-off has hit European debt markets, reflecting concerns about inflation, budget deficits and government debt.

Euronews

Eurozone inflation jumps to 3.3% in August as energy prices surge

Eurozone inflation rose sharply in August, as energy prices climbed by more than 14% compared with a year earlier, according to Eurostat.

Barchart

Dollar Slips on Dovish Bessent Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell by -0.28% on Monday. The dollar settled lower on Monday, consolidating below last Friday’s 2-week high. Comments from US Treasury Secretary Bessent weighed on the dollar Monday when he said the Fed traditionally doesn’t raise interest rates in response to a supply shock, suggesting...

Euronews

German inflation rises to 2.9% in August, coming in below expectations

Inflation in Germany rose 2.9% in the year to August on the harmonised measure tracked by the European Central Bank, a fresh acceleration from July but well short of the 3.1% economists had expected, in a reading that offers modest relief to policymakers meeting in Frankfurt next week.

Barchart

Dollar Weakens on Strength in the Chinese Yuan

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down by -0.16% today. The dollar is modestly lower today, consolidating below last Friday’s 2-week high. Today’s rally in the Chinese yuan to a 3.5-year high is undercutting the dollar. However, losses in the dollar are limited today as WTI crude oil climbs more...

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