Kalshi’s midterm trading tops $1.4 billion as traders bet on a Democratic sweep of Congress From Texas to Los Angeles, traders are placing their bets. Recent surprises suggest the odds warrant caution. Fortune · 4h ago
Binance battles to save its brand after record $6.3bn crypto hack World’s largest crypto exchange faces fallout from angry customers, and Lula wins with WhatsApp The Guardian - US · 9h ago
Are prediction markets accurate on elections? The US midterms are a big test Polymarket and Kalshi have risen for collecting the ‘wisdom of crowds’. But after high-profile blunders, some wonder if their predictions were just ‘stupid people getting lucky’ The Guardian - US · 13h ago
Flávio Bolsonaro's Escape Involved Former Mossad Agent in Van and Trump Aide Arranging Private Jet: Report Reports trace Flávio Bolsonaro's journey from Brazil through Argentina to Miami, involving a former Israeli intelligence operative and private-jet arrangements linked to Trump adviser Jason Miller. International Business Times UK · Nov 1
Former Mossad agent accompanied Flávio Bolsonaro in escape from Brazil A former agent of Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency reportedly accompanied Brazilian senator and defeated presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro as he crossed into Argentina before flying to the United States, according to an investigation by CNN Brasil. The Times of India · Nov 1
Why fallen leaders run to Florida Defeated Brazilian politician joins a long line of authoritarians to seek refuge in the Sunshine State Salon · Nov 1
Rubio Denies Arranging Flávio Bolsonaro's Exit From Brazil as Trump Authorises His Entry Into the US Marco Rubio said Washington did not help Flávio Bolsonaro leave Brazil, although Donald Trump authorised his entry into the US after the senator's election defeat. International Business Times UK · Oct 31
Jair Bolsonaro's Health Care Is Expanded At Home As Son Flávio Challenges Runoff Results from U.S. Former President Jair Bolsonaro remains under humanitarian house arrest while receiving expanded medical care, as son Flávio Bolsonaro challenges his reported presidential runoff defeat by Lula. Latin Times · Oct 31
Flávio Bolsonaro’s departure to the US sparks a flurry of viral Brazilian memes Political memes have exploded in Brazil since Sunday’s election that saw underdog President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva beat his opponent Flávio Bolsonaro, who responded to his loss by fleeing the country The Independent UK · Oct 31
The secret behind Lula’s win in Brazil may be an ‘army’ – of social media creators There are many explanations for the incumbent president’s win over Flávio Bolsonaro, but analysts – and he – point to reinvention of his social media use The Guardian - US · Oct 31
Bolsonaro Continues To Dispute The Brazilian Election Results. He Said He Would Run For Office Again Soon. Brazilian presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro, who is in the U.S., says he plans to run again before 2030. Bolsonaro left Brazil after he lost the election to Lula and the supreme court ordered him to surrender his passports. International Business Times · Oct 31
‘Amateur morons’: Flávio Bolsonaro’s short-lived ‘president-elect’ claim met with mockery Brazilian media ridicule defeated candidate over ‘shameful’ absconsion to US and bizarre letter with wrong coat of arms The Guardian - UK · Oct 30
Could 2026 be the year that democracy fought back? Elections are never enough by themselves, but the stunning results from Serbia, Brazil and Hungary have given us hope in dark times, says Belgian author and philosopher David Van Reybrouck The Guardian - UK · Oct 30
The Guardian - UK · Oct 29 Brazil’s victory for the planet and democracy: seven lessons from Lula’s win The trouncing of the far right provides a playbook for social and environmental movements in other countries facing elections, including the US, Spain and France
International Business Times UK · Oct 29 Brazil Supreme Court Targets Vance's MAGA Donors in Explosive AI and Election Probe Brazil's Supreme Court launches a probe into alleged election interference involving JD Vance's MAGA donor network, raising explosive questions about foreign funding, AI and political influence.
International Business Times UK · Oct 29 Donor Network Co-Founded by JD Vance, Meta Named in Brazil Election Interference Probe Over Flávio Bolsonaro Brazil's Supreme Court orders police to probe Rockbridge Network, co-founded by JD Vance, and Meta's algorithms over help for Flávio Bolsonaro.
International Business Times UK · Oct 29 Jet Used in Flávio Bolsonaro's Escape to the US Linked to Cocaine-Trafficking Case and Milei Corruption Scandal A jet used by Flávio Bolsonaro was operated by Argentina's Baires Fly, whose intermediary is linked to US and Argentine criminal investigations.
Latin Times · Oct 29 Bolsonaro Calls Brazil's Election Stolen From U.S. Soil — The Claims, the Denials and What Each Side Is Saying Flávio Bolsonaro has declared himself Brazil's opposition leader from Miami after revising an earlier claim that he was the country's elected president, while allies stop short of backing the allegation.
The Independent UK · Oct 29 The political fallout of Bolsonaro's exodus after Brazilian election defeat Refusing to concede, Bolsonaro has styled himself as the ‘leader of Brazil’
The Guardian - US · Oct 29 Flávio Bolsonaro’s defeat is a major blow to Trump and his orange wave The far-right candidate was supposed to claim the presidency, but Brazilian voters had other ideas
International Business Times UK · Oct 29 Flávio Bolsonaro Allegedly Pooped Himself in 2016 Debate as Rival's Account of Father's Reaction Resurfaces An old allegation about Flávio Bolsonaro becoming ill during a 2016 debate has resurfaced in Brazil's 2026 campaign, though contemporary reports confirm only that he left after falling unwell
The Times of India · Oct 29 Decoys, secret jet, Italian passport and Trump’s nod: How Brazil’s Bolsonaro made his way to the US Flávio Bolsonaro’s journey from Brazil to the United States involved decoy cars, a cross-border transfer through Argentina and Ecuador, and assistance from allies of US President Donald Trump.
International Business Times UK · Oct 29 Brazilian Police Say Flávio Bolsonaro Has No Recorded Exit From Country Before Miami Arrival Brazilian authorities are investigating how Senator Flávio Bolsonaro left the country despite a Supreme Court travel ban, after police found no official record of his departure.